As of Nov 4, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Duke at 69%.
Polymarket
Duke69%
Colorado State53%
Oklahoma52.5%
Notre Dame51.2%
Providence50.6%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $13.5K
Reported volume ยท provider units
73
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 4, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team qualifies for the Final Four (national semifinals) of the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Final Four (e.g., it is eliminated or not selected for the tournament), this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, or the Final Four teams are not determined by April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.
Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.
Will Duke reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(73)
Market
Platform
Price
Will Duke reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
69.0%
Will Colorado State reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
53.0%
Will Oklahoma reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
52.5%
Will Notre Dame reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
51.2%
Will Providence reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
50.6%
Will Florida State reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
50.1%
Will Pittsburgh reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
50.1%
Will Syracuse reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
50.1%
Will Loyola Chicago reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
50.0%
Will Seton Hall reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
50.0%
Will Florida reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
35.5%
Will Kansas reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
24.0%
Will UConn reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
22.0%
Will Illinois reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
20.5%
Will Arizona reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
15.0%
Will Texas Tech reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
14.8%
Will Dayton reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
14.0%
Will Michigan State reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
14.0%
Will Louisville reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
13.2%
Will Texas reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
13.2%
Will St. John's reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
13.0%
Will Houston reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
12.5%
Will Gonzaga reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
12.2%
Will USC reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
12.2%
Will LSU reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
11.1%
Will Arkansas reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
10.5%
Will Butler reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
10.0%
Will Missouri reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
9.2%
Will Miami reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
9.2%
Will Virginia reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
9.0%
Will Kentucky reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
8.5%
Will VCU reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
8.3%
Will North Carolina reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
8.1%
Will Wisconsin reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
8.1%
Will Boston College reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
7.4%
Will Auburn reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
7.0%
Will Michigan reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
7.0%
Will UCLA reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
7.0%
Will Vanderbilt reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
7.0%
Will Baylor reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
6.9%
Will Villanova reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
6.7%
Will Richmond reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
6.6%
Will San Diego State reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
6.6%
Will Nebraska reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
6.3%
Will Purdue reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
6.2%
Will Alabama reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
6.0%
Will Iowa State reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
6.0%
Will Ohio State reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
6.0%
Will Indiana reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
5.7%
Will BYU reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
5.3%
Will Georgetown reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
5.1%
Will Tennessee reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
5.0%
Will Memphis reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
4.9%
Will Clemson reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
4.8%
Will Ole Miss reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
4.5%
Will Oregon reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
4.4%
Will Stanford reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
4.2%
Will NC State reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
4.1%
Will Creighton reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
4.0%
Will Nevada reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
4.0%
Will Virginia Tech reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
4.0%
Will St. Bonaventure reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
4.0%
Will Texas A&M reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
3.7%
Will Xavier reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
3.7%
Will Boise State reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
3.6%
Will Iowa reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
3.5%
Will Cincinnati reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
3.1%
Will Marquette reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
2.9%
Will Wake Forest reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
2.9%
Will Mississippi State reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
2.7%
Will SMU reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
2.6%
Will San Francisco reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
2.6%
Will Saint Mary's reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
Poly
2.6%
Rules & Resolution
Saved matching review
Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.
A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.
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