BNB Up or Down - October 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
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BNB Up or Down - October 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Polymarket contract covers a five-minute window, 11:05PM to 11:10PM ET on October 19. According to the rules, the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The rules name the BNB/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source and state that other sources or spot markets do not determine the outcome [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T03:10:00Z [1]. That is the contract's closing time, not a record of when the market resolved. The evidence does not include a resolution result.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-19T06:00:06Z. The source was retrieved at 2026-10-19T08:37:18Z [1]. The snapshot therefore describes prices at the observation time, not the time you are reading this.
At that observation, the saved prices were Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The evidence does not include volume, liquidity, or the number of traders, so it cannot show how deep either side of the market is.
The sample covers one market from one Polymarket event. The coverage record marks it as complete for that event, with one included market out of one total and no partial sample [1]. The sample does not show whether other outcomes or contracts exist for this window. Because this is a single binary contract, there is no other listed outcome to compare against.
If you compare this with a different contract, such as one with another window, another asset, or another provider, check the wording and listed end time first. A difference in price between differently worded contracts does not by itself indicate an opportunity.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices were at these levels. It also does not say whether the market has changed since the observation, what the final result will be, or whether the BNB price moved in either direction after the snapshot. Any reading of the current status requires a newer snapshot, and the saved provider status at observation was "active" [1].
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a short-term price market on BNB, with the title "BNB Up or Down - October 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET" and a listed category of Crypto [1]. It belongs to a family of contracts that ask whether an asset's price will finish a short window higher or lower than where it started. The contract is listed on Polymarket and has two outcomes, "Up" and "Down" [1]. The resolution rule is specific. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The outcome therefore depends on an average across the window rather than on the price at its final moment, and on a comparison against the starting price rather than against a fixed level. The resolution source is named as Chainlink's BNB/USD TWAP data stream, with a 60-second TWAP stream identified in the source [1]. The rule states that the contract is about the price according to that Chainlink data stream for the BNB/USD pair, not any other data feed or spot market [1]. Traders reading the contract should therefore look at that specific feed, since a price quoted elsewhere would not decide the result. The listed end time in the contract information is 2026-10-20T03:10:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's stated closing point and should be read as a rule date, not as an announced event or a statement that anything has already happened. The listed status at retrieval was active [1], but that status belongs to the saved record and is not a live check.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of BNB's price over a defined five-minute window, as reported by a specific Chainlink TWAP data stream [1]. Because the result compares the window's time-weighted average with the price at the start of the window, it measures a direction within that interval rather than a long-term view of BNB [1]. Its usefulness as a reference depends on understanding that exact rule, including which feed is used and how the comparison is made [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this contract resolve to Up?
It resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price source decides the outcome?
The contract names the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream as its resolution source and says it is about that feed, not other sources or spot markets [1].
Does a single price on this contract show the chance of an outcome?
The price shown on a contract is a snapshot from a provider record and is not an executable quote or a verified probability, so it should not be read as a confirmed chance of either outcome.
What time window does the contract cover?
The title specifies October 19, 11:05PM to 11:10PM ET, and the listed end time in the source is 2026-10-20T03:10:00.000Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.