Snapshot observed 2026-10-30T03:00:06.332Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This snapshot covers one event from Polymarket, "Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5AM ET," in the Crypto category [1]. The contract resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time in the title. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The stated resolution source is Binance's ETH/USDT pair, and the rules specify that "this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs" [1]. The rules also say the open and close shown for the relevant "1H" candle will be used "once the data for that candle is finalized" [1].

Reading the snapshot

The saved event includes one market with two outcomes. The "Up" outcome is priced at 0.5 and the "Down" outcome at 0.5 [1]. The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-30T03:00:06.332Z, and this tool retrieved the source at 2026-10-30T05:34:40.122Z [1]. These are observation-time values, not current quotes, and they are not executable prices or verified probabilities. The provider reports the event status as active and gives a listed end time of 2026-10-30T10:00:00.000Z [1].

The sample is complete for this saved event: all one of its markets is included, and the sample is not marked partial [1]. Because there is only one market, no comparison with other contracts is possible here. Volume and number of traders are not included in the supplied evidence, so no liquidity conclusion can be drawn.

What remains uncertain

The title says "5AM ET," while the listed end time is given in UTC. Readers comparing contracts should check time zones directly rather than assume the two labels match. The supplied evidence does not state the candle's actual open or close, and it does not show how the price has changed over time. It also does not establish whether this contract has resolved. The evidence supports only the rule text, the observed prices, and the listed end time.

References

1. Polymarket: Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-30T03:00:06.332Z.