GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Louisiana Senate Election: Turnout

Name: Louisiana Senate Election: Turnout
End: 2026-11-03T12:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$2.07K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Louisiana Senate Election: Turnout

Vol

$2.07K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.07K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.07K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?	Poly	46%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be 1,700,000 or more?	Poly	42%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be less than 1,100,000?	Poly	38%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,300,000 and 1,400,000?	Poly	38%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000?	Poly	37%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?	Poly	5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?	Poly	2%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

46%

Top Probability

$2.07K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are incl

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Louisiana Senate Election: Turnout
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 3, 2026 (59 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are incl

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $16.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.12)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be less than 1,100,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $801
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,300,000 and 1,400,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $982
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $189
  DATA: [Yes: 4.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.2% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be 1,700,000 or more?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics