Market snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of November 2 2026?

Reported volume

PM $15

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What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of November 2 2026?

Vol

PM $15

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is ↑ $525 at 87.5%.

Polymarket

↑ $52587.5%
↓ $517.5076%
↑ $532.5064.5%
↑ $54043%
↑ $57036.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

14 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of November 2 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of November 2 2026?	Poly	87.5%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of November 2 2026?	Poly	76.0%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $532.50 Week of November 2 2026?	Poly	64.5%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 Week of November 2 2026?	Poly	43.0%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 Week of November 2 2026?	Poly	36.5%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $472.50 Week of November 2 2026?	Poly	35.0%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of November 2 2026?	Poly	30.0%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 Week of November 2 2026?	Poly	27.5%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $547.50 Week of November 2 2026?	Poly	26.0%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $502.50 Week of November 2 2026?	Poly	18.5%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 Week of November 2 2026?	Poly	13.0%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of November 2 2026?	Poly	10.5%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $562.50 Week of November 2 2026?	Poly	8.0%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $487.50 Week of November 2 2026?	Poly	8.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $15

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of November 2 2026?

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of November 2 2026?
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $15
Coverage: 14 of 14 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 Week of November 2 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6436186; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-msft-reach-570-by-november-2-2026
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 6, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 36.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 63.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of November 2 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.

Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythd

Contract: Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $562.50 Week of November 2 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6436189; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-msft-reach-562-50-by-november-2-2026
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 6, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 8.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of November 2 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.

Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythd

Contract: Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 Week of November 2 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6436192; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-msft-reach-555-by-november-2-2026
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 6, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 13.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 87.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of November 2 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.

Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythd

Contract: Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $547.50 Week of November 2 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6436196; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-msft-reach-547-50-by-november-2-2026
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 6, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $10
Outcome Yes: 26.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 74.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of November 2 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.

Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythd

Contract: Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 Week of November 2 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6436200; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-msft-reach-540-by-november-2-2026
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 6, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $5
Outcome Yes: 43.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 57.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of November 2 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.

Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythd

Contract: Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $532.50 Week of November 2 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6436204; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-msft-reach-532-50-by-november-2-2026
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 6, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 64.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 35.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of November 2 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.

Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythd

Contract: Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of November 2 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6436208; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-msft-reach-525-by-november-2-2026
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 6, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 87.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 12.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of November 2 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.

Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythd

Contract: Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of November 2 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6436213; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-msft-dip-to-517-50-by-november-2-2026
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 6, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 76.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 24.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of November 2 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.

Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythd

Contract: Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 Week of November 2 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6436217; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-msft-dip-to-510-by-november-2-2026
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 6, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 27.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 72.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of November 2 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.

Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythd

Contract: Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $502.50 Week of November 2 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6436221; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-msft-dip-to-502-50-by-november-2-2026
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 6, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 18.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 81.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of November 2 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.

Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythd

Contract: Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of November 2 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6436225; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-msft-dip-to-495-by-november-2-2026
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 6, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 10.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 89.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of November 2 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.

Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythd

Contract: Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $487.50 Week of November 2 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6436228; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-msft-dip-to-487-50-by-november-2-2026
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 6, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 8.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of November 2 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.

Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythd

Contract: Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of November 2 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6436230; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-msft-dip-to-480-by-november-2-2026
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 6, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 30.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 70.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of November 2 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.

Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythd

Contract: Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $472.50 Week of November 2 2026?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6436231; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-msft-dip-to-472-50-by-november-2-2026
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 6, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 35.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 65.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules excerpt (truncated): This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of November 2 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.

Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythd

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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