Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This event, "NCAA Football: UCLA 2026 Win Total," contains four Polymarket markets on whether UCLA's 2026 win total exceeds 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 8.5 [1]. Each market resolves "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games are excluded [1].

The rules also specify that canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. If the 2026 regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or cannot be resolved within that window, the market resolves "No" [1]. The primary resolution source is official NCAA and conference records, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].

The listed end times differ. The 6.5 market shows an end date of 2026-12-12T23:59:00.000Z, while the 5.5, 7.5, and 8.5 markets show 2026-12-27T04:59:00.000Z [1]. Readers comparing these contracts should check each listed end time before treating the markets as directly comparable.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T06:00:11.823Z [1]. These are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

The saved Yes prices were 0.971 for more than 5.5 wins, 0.925 for more than 6.5, 0.9 for more than 7.5, and 0.78 for more than 8.5 [1]. Each market's No price is the complement of its Yes price in the saved data. The four markets form a single threshold ladder for one team, so comparing them within this event is reasonable. Their prices should not be combined with markets from other providers or other events, since the wording and end times may differ.

What remains uncertain

The coverage record shows four total markets and four included, with no partial sample [1]. The sample warning states that the saved markets do not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. The saved data does not explain why prices are at their current levels, and it does not report trading activity or the number of participants.

The evidence does not include the 2026 schedule, game results, or any news about UCLA. It also does not confirm whether the regular season will be completed as scheduled. Any outcome for these contracts remains unresolved in this snapshot.

References

1. Polymarket: NCAA Football: UCLA 2026 Win Total. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.