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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Nürnberg

Name: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Nürnberg
End: 2026-05-03T11:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$31.29

Events

Markets

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SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Nürnberg

Vol

$31.29

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $31.29

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $31.29

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-05-03?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-05-03?	Poly	39%
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-05-03?	Poly	36%
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?	Poly	25%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

39%

Top Probability

$31.29

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, May 3, 2026 between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Nürnberg.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Nürnberg
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 3, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, May 3, 2026 between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Nürnberg.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 3, 2026
If SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up ga"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $31
* **Total Liquidity:** $729.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-05-03?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $16
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-05-03?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Nürnberg

This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, May 3, 2026 between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Nürnberg.

Volume$31.29

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-05-03?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 38.5¢No 61.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-05-03?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 3, 2026 If 1. FC Nürnberg wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, th

POLYMARKET

Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-05-03?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 36.0¢No 64.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-05-03?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 3, 2026 If SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up ga

POLYMARKET

Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 24.5¢No 75.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 3, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/TpgcIM" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Nürnberg"></iframe>

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SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Nürnberg

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Nürnberg

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Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-05-03?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Nürnberg

Markets (3)

Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-05-03?

Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-05-03?

Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-05-03?

Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-05-03?

Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?

Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?

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Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-05-03?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Nürnberg

Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-05-03?

Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-05-03?

Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-05-03?

Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-05-03?

Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?

Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw?

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