BNB Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
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BNB Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T21:00:06.793Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract, titled "BNB Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET," is a single Polymarket market with two outcomes. The rules state that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"." [1] The resolution source is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules specify that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets." [1]
The listed end time is 2026-11-01T12:20:00.000Z [1]. That is the contract's listed close, not an announced event or a confirmed resolution. The source does not report an actual resolution outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-31T21:00:06.793Z and retrieved at 2026-10-31T22:21:16.249Z [1]. These are the only timing points in the evidence. Prices from this snapshot describe that observation window and should not be read as live quotes.
At observation, the outcome "Up" was priced at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. The two prices sum to 1.000, and the gap between them is 0.010. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The evidence does not explain why the prices stood where they did, and it contains no information about how many traders took part or how much liquidity was available.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record reports one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. The source also notes that the providers may not list every possible real-world outcome, so this snapshot should not be treated as a complete field.
What remains uncertain
The snapshot does not establish the BNB price at the start of the window, the TWAP during it, or the eventual result. The evidence also lacks any reporting on BNB market conditions around the window. Because this is a single contract, no cross-platform comparison is supported, and a price difference with another contract would not by itself indicate an opportunity.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T21:00:06.793Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window crypto contract on Polymarket titled "BNB Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET". The contract asks whether the price of BNB will finish a five-minute window at or above where it started. The saved provider record describes the market as a binary Up or Down contract in the Crypto category [1]. The settlement rule depends on a time-weighted average price rather than a single price at the end of the window. According to the provider's rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. Because the test compares an average over the window with the starting price, a brief move near the end of the window does not by itself decide the outcome. The resolution source is Chainlink. The provider specifies the BNB/USD TWAP data stream, labeled as a 60-second stream, and states that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream for the BNB/USD pair, not other sources or spot markets [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a price on an exchange should expect that the exchange price may not match the stream used for settlement. The saved record lists an end time of 2026-11-01T12:20:00Z and a provider status of active when it was observed. The observation time, the retrieval time and the listed end time are different things. The end time is the scheduled close of the contract under its rules. It is not a record that the outcome has been determined, and the saved record does not establish whether settlement has occurred.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the BNB/USD price, as reported in a specified Chainlink TWAP data stream, averages at or above its starting level over a short window. Its wording makes the data stream the reference point, so a reader needs to understand that stream's averaging method to interpret the contract correctly [1]. A snapshot of a contract price reflects market activity at one moment and is not a verified probability of the outcome, and it should not be read as an executable quote.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-31 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up?
The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of BNB over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price data does the contract use?
The contract uses the BNB/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the provider states that other sources or spot markets are not used for this market [1].
Does the listed end time mean the outcome is known?
No. The saved record lists an end time of 2026-11-01T12:20:00Z, which is the scheduled close under the provider's rules, but the saved record does not show that the market has settled [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.