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Events
GroupKALSHI

Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Annie Fernandez: Total Games

Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Annie Fernandez: Total Games
Vol

K 16 contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

3

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Over 19.5 games at 60.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Over 19.5 games60.5%
  2. Over 14.5 games57.5%
  3. Over 24.5 games49.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 16 contracts

Reported volume ยท provider units

3

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Annie Fernandez (Oct 30) If the number of completed games in the full match is above X in the Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Annie Fernandez professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Tokyo Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Annie Fernandez professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Tokyo Quarterfinal. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation, all before the match starts, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks. If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T09:00:05.886Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The supplied Kalshi event covers the match between Elena Rybakina and Leylah Annie Fernandez in the 2026 WTA Ningbo Final. The rule states: "If the number of completed games in the full match is above X in the Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Annie Fernandez professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Ningbo Final, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] Each saved market uses a different threshold: over 16.5, over 21.5, and over 26.5 games. These are separate contracts on the same match, not alternative outcomes of one question, so their prices should not be averaged or combined.

The rules also state that if the match does not occur before it starts, the market resolves "to a fair price in accordance with the rules." If the match is postponed, the market "will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks." [1] The source lists the market as closing "after the event occurs," and the listed end time is "not supplied." [1] The saved end date of November 8, 2026 is a provider field, not a confirmed match date.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 09:00 UTC on October 25, 2026, and the record was retrieved at 10:17 UTC the same day. These are snapshots, not current or executable quotes. Within this snapshot, the Yes price was 0.89 for over 16.5 games, 0.515 for over 21.5 games, and 0.305 for over 26.5 games. [1] Each price moves inversely with the threshold, which is expected since a higher line requires more completed games for Yes to resolve.

The sample covers all three saved markets for this event, so no omitted thresholds are involved. The sample warning says this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome." [1] Volume is not supplied, so the snapshot says nothing about liquidity or how many people are trading.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is, and it does not report the match's progress or outcome. It also gives no information about whether the match will be played as scheduled. A reader should check the provider's current page and the contract rules before relying on any figure, since these prices may have changed since the observation time.

References

  1. Kalshi: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Annie Fernandez: Total Games. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T09:00:05.886Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTC

This saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.

Overview

This article covers a Kalshi total games contract for the professional tennis match between Elena Rybakina and Leylah Annie Fernandez, listed under the 2026 WTA Ningbo Final [1]. The contract asks whether the number of completed games in the full match will be above a stated threshold X. If the count is above X, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The event page lists three thresholds: over 16.5 games, over 21.5 games, and over 26.5 games [1]. The saved snapshot shows Yes prices of 0.89 for over 16.5 games, 0.515 for over 21.5 games, and 0.305 for over 26.5 games, with corresponding No prices of 0.11, 0.485, and 0.695. These figures come from a provider observation at 09:00:05 UTC on October 25, 2026, retrieved at 10:17:19 UTC the same day [1]. They are snapshot values, not executable quotes, and they do not show what the market is trading at now. The three saved markets are all of the markets stored for this event, and each is a separate threshold contract on the same match. The event page also states how the market behaves if the match does not run as scheduled. If the match does not occur because of an injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation before it starts, the market resolves to a fair price under the rules [1]. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match finishes, within two weeks [1]. If a player retires, markets that can be settled unconditionally on completed play resolve on that basis, and any others resolve to Fair Market Price as determined by the exchange [1]. The page notes that the market closes and expires after the event occurs [1]. The provider status was active, and no listed end time was supplied [1]. The end date in the market data, November 8, 2026, is a stored date in the provider data and should not be read as an announced match time. The event page states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league [1].

Why It Matters

The contract measures the total number of completed games in the full match between the two named players [1]. Each threshold market is a yes or no question about whether that count exceeds a particular number, so a participant's view of the outcome depends on the threshold chosen. The rules tie settlement to completed play, so a retirement or cancellation can change how the contract is settled [1]. Because the saved prices are time-stamped snapshots, they show how the market was priced at the observation time and do not confirm how the match will unfold [1].

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-25 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Over 21.5 games contract pay out on?

The contract resolves to Yes if the number of completed games in the full match is above the stated threshold, which is 21.5 in this case [1].

What happens if the match is postponed?

If the match is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks [1].

What happens if a player retires during the match?

Markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange [1].

Are the prices in this article current?

No. The prices are from a provider observation at 09:00:05 UTC on October 25, 2026, retrieved at 10:17:19 UTC, and should be read as snapshot values from that time [1].

Was this helpful?
Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketSports
Pan Pacific Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez

Pan Pacific Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez

PM $421.58
Pan Pacific Open: Completed Match: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah FernandezYes 58%
Pan Pacific Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah FernandezView outcomes
Set 1 Winner: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah FernandezView outcomes
+14 moreNext deadline Nov 6, 2026 UTC
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Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Annie Fernandez: Set 1 Winner

Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Annie Fernandez: Set 1 Winner

K 0 contracts
Will Elena Rybakina win set 1 in the Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Annie Fernandez matchYes 70%
Will Leylah Annie Fernandez win set 1 in the Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Annie Fernandez matchYes 29.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC
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Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Annie Fernandez: Set 2 Winner

Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Annie Fernandez: Set 2 Winner

K 0 contracts
Will Elena Rybakina win set 2 in the Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Annie Fernandez matchYes 50%
Will Leylah Annie Fernandez win set 2 in the Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Annie Fernandez matchYes 50%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
WTA Tokyo Winner

WTA Tokyo Winner

K 7.6K contracts
WTA Tokyo: Elena Rybakina winsYes 46%
WTA Tokyo: Alexandra Eala winsYes 17%
WTA Tokyo: Leylah Annie Fernandez winsYes 8.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Dec 5, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
Rybakina vs Fernandez

Rybakina vs Fernandez

K 5.4K contracts
Elena Rybakina winsYes 77.5%
Leylah Fernandez winsYes 22.5%
2 mktsNext deadline Nov 13, 2026 UTC
PolymarketSports
WTA Tennis: Tokyo, Japan Winner

WTA Tennis: Tokyo, Japan Winner

PM $3.0K
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Tokyo, Japan?Yes 37%
Will Alexandra Eala win the 2026 Tokyo, Japan?Yes 10.5%
Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Tokyo, Japan?Yes 9%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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