ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET" [1]. According to the saved rules, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market "is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-11-01T11:05:00.000Z [1]. The title uses Eastern Time, so readers should compare the UTC listed end time with the ET window in the title rather than assume they match without checking.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-01T09:16:27.599Z [1]. The saved prices are Up 0.5 and Down 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot values from the observation time, not current prices, executable quotes, or verified probabilities. They show that the two outcomes were priced equally in that saved record, and nothing more.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record shows one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. Because this is a single binary contract, there are no other outcomes to compare, and no cross-platform comparison applies. The saved record does not include volume, so it says nothing about liquidity or the number of participants.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the price at any time after the observation, nor whether the contract has since closed or resolved. The status was "active" at retrieval, but that describes the record at that time [1]. The evidence also does not explain why the prices were equal. The rules describe the resolution mechanism only, so the outcome depends on the Chainlink TWAP data stream during the stated window and on the price at the start of that window [1]. Readers should check the live contract and the resolution source for any later status.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 1, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window crypto price contract titled "ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET," listed in the Crypto category on Polymarket [1]. The contract asks whether ZCash's price moves up or down over a five-minute window. Its rules state that it will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The measurement is tied to one data feed. The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules say the market concerns the price in that Chainlink stream for the ZEC/USD pair, and not any other source or spot market [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a price shown on an exchange or aggregator should therefore expect that the two may not measure the same thing. The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-11-01T09:16:27.598Z [1]. At that observation time, the provider listed both the Up and Down outcomes at a price of 0.5 [1]. Those figures describe one saved snapshot. They are not an executable quote, and they are not a verified probability of either outcome. The listed end time for the contract is 2026-11-01T11:05:00.000Z [1]. That date is part of the contract record and is not evidence of any separate announcement.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a short-term price direction for ZCash, using a time-weighted average from a named Chainlink data stream rather than a single trade price [1]. The comparison is between the average over the five-minute window and the price at the start of that window. Because of this structure, the outcome depends on the average across the period, not only on where the price finishes [1]. Readers should keep the observation, retrieval, closing and resolution times separate. The record shows observation and retrieval times in early November 2026 and a listed end time of 11:05 UTC [1]. It does not contain a resolved outcome.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-01 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
The market resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price of ZCash over the title's time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1].
Which price data does the contract use?
The contract uses the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink. The rules state that other sources and spot markets are not the reference [1].
Does the listed price show which outcome is more likely?
The saved snapshot showed both outcomes at 0.5 at its observation time [1]. That is a recorded price, not a verified probability, and it does not indicate which outcome is likely.
What is the listed end time?
The record lists an end time of 2026-11-01T11:05:00.000Z [1]. That is the time given in the contract record and is not evidence of a separate event.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
