Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
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Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Nov 2, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-02T09:00:05.932Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on the direction of Dogecoin over a five-minute window, titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET" [1]. The rules state that the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader should therefore not compare this contract with Dogecoin prices quoted on exchanges or other data feeds, since those may use different methods.
The listed end time is 2026-11-03T05:50:00.000Z [1]. The title's window ends at 12:50AM ET, so readers should check that the UTC and Eastern times refer to the same moment before comparing contracts with different time labels.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-11-02T09:00:05.932Z and retrieved at 2026-11-02T11:24:36.365Z [1]. Both times are earlier than the listed end time. The provider status was recorded as active [1]. These timestamps describe when the data was collected. They do not show the market's current state.
The saved prices were Up at 0.5 and Down at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The sample includes one market, and the record shows no partial sample [1]. Volume is not reported in this snapshot, so it cannot be used to judge liquidity.
Because the snapshot contains only this one contract from one platform, there is no cross-platform or cross-contract comparison to make. The two outcomes are complementary, so the equal prices describe the saved quotes only.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the market's price after the observation time, so it cannot describe the present state of this contract. The evidence also does not explain any price movement, report trader counts, or provide information on recent events affecting Dogecoin.
The provider notes that all saved markets for this event are included, but that "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. In this case, the contract is a binary Up or Down question, so the sample is limited to the two outcomes recorded.
References
- Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-02T09:00:05.932Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 2, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window price contract on Dogecoin, listed on Polymarket under the title "Dogecoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET" [1]. The contract asks whether DOGE/USD moves up or down over a five-minute window. Its rules state that it will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The comparison is therefore between an average price over the window and the starting price, not between the price at the end of the window and the start. The resolution source is named in the contract rules as information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval [1]. The rules also say the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream and not any other source or spot market [1]. A trader reading this contract should therefore focus on that specific feed, since other exchanges or price pages may show different figures during the same minutes. The listed end time is 2026-11-03T05:50:00.000Z, and the provider lists the event as active [1]. That end time is the contract's closing point as stated in the rules. The source record does not show a final resolution, and this entry does not report one. The saved market sample contains one event with two outcomes, "Up" and "Down", each showing a price of 0.5 in the snapshot observed at 2026-11-02T09:00:05.932Z [1]. These prices are a point-in-time snapshot from the provider. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. The sample includes the only market saved for this event, so it does not describe a wider set of contracts.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP over the stated five-minute window is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because it uses an average over the interval rather than a single print, the outcome depends on the path of prices during the window as well as where it ends. The rules explicitly limit the measurement to that Chainlink data stream, so the contract is a narrow test of one reference feed and one time range. The 0.5 and 0.5 prices in the snapshot reflect how the listed market was priced at that observation time, not how it will settle [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-02 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price source is used for resolution?
The resolution source is the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval, and the rules say the market is not based on other sources or spot markets [1].
Does the snapshot show which outcome is more likely?
The saved snapshot lists both "Up" and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. These are provider prices at one observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, so they do not indicate which outcome is more likely.
When does this contract end?
The listed end time is 2026-11-03T05:50:00.000Z, and the provider lists the event as active [1]. The end time is a contract rule, not a report that the market has resolved.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.