Ethereum price on October 22?
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11
Ethereum price on October 22?
PM $0
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11
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
11
Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied event asks about the Ethereum price on October 22 and resolves using "the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title" [1]. The source adds that "this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-22T16:00:00.000Z [1]. Each bracket is a separate contract with its own wording. Some are phrased "between" a lower and upper value, while others are "less than $2,000" or "greater than $2,900" [1]. The rules also state that "if the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket" [1]. Because the bracket wording differs, a reader should check each contract's exact text before comparing them.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed the markets at 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-15T17:02:21.314Z [1]. These are snapshot times. The saved event shows all 11 markets, with no partial sample flagged [1]. Its Yes prices range from 0.495 to 0.505 [1]. Two brackets are priced at 0.505, seven at 0.5, and two at 0.495 [1]. Because the prices are so close together, the snapshot shows little separation between brackets.
The Yes prices do not sum to one across the 11 contracts. Adding them gives about 5.5, so they should not be read as a complete probability distribution. The prices are not executable quotes, and the saved data does not establish a verified probability for any bracket. The volume data also does not indicate liquidity or the number of traders, so it is not used here.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show why any price is at its level. It also does not show any news or events that could affect the Ethereum price. The snapshot is from October 15, 2026, and it does not show current prices. The source status is "active" at the time of observation, and the archive flag is false [1]. The evidence does not show whether the market has closed or resolved, so the outcome is unknown from this record. Comparisons with contracts on other platforms are not supported by this snapshot, since the evidence covers only this Polymarket event.
References
- Polymarket: Ethereum price on October 22?. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCOverview
This Polymarket event, titled "Ethereum price on October 22?", sits in the crypto category and is made up of separate contracts, each asking whether the price of Ethereum will fall within a specific range on the stated date [1]. The saved event contains eleven contracts. Ten cover price brackets of $100 width between $2,000 and $2,900, and the others cover prices less than $2,000 and greater than $2,900 [1]. The rules define the price source precisely. Each contract resolves according to the final close price of the Binance 1 minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair at 12:00 noon Eastern Time on the date in the title. If the reported value falls exactly on a boundary between two brackets, the contract resolves to the higher bracket. A contract that does not match the reported value resolves to "No" [1]. The rules also state that the market concerns the Binance ETH/USDT price specifically, not prices on other exchanges or trading pairs [1]. Ethereum itself is described in background material as a decentralized blockchain with smart contract functionality, and ether is its native cryptocurrency. Ether is second only to bitcoin in market capitalization among cryptocurrencies [2]. That description explains the asset being measured but does not describe current market conditions. The listed end time for the event is 16:00 UTC on October 22, 2026 [1]. Given the stated resolution time of 12:00 noon Eastern Time, this corresponds to the close of the one minute candle at that moment. The saved snapshot was observed on October 15, 2026 at 16:13 UTC, when the event was listed as active [1]. The stated end time is a contract rule, not an announced event, and the supplied material contains no resolution outcome. In the saved snapshot, most Yes prices sit close to the midpoint of 0.50, with small differences between brackets [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. Different prices across contracts in the same event do not by themselves indicate an arbitrage opportunity, because each contract has its own bracket and its own resolution conditions.
Historical Context
The supplied background describes Ethereum as a decentralized blockchain with smart contract functionality, with ether as its native cryptocurrency [2]. It also notes that ether ranks second to bitcoin by market capitalization [2]. The material does not include a dated history of ether's price, so this article does not describe past price movements.
Why It Matters
The contract measures one specific number: the close of a one minute Binance ETH/USDT candle at 12:00 noon Eastern Time on October 22, 2026 [1]. It does not measure Ethereum's price on all exchanges, its average price over the day, or its price at any other time [1]. Because each bracket covers a different range, the set of contracts lets a reader compare the market's pricing of different outcomes for that single moment. The Yes prices shown are snapshots, so they describe market pricing at one observed time rather than a current or fixed probability [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Which price source decides the outcome of these contracts?
The Binance ETH/USDT pair decides the outcome. The rules refer to the final close price of the one minute candle at 12:00 noon Eastern Time on the date in the title, and prices on other exchanges or pairs do not count [1].
What happens if the price lands exactly on a boundary between two brackets?
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, the contract resolves to the higher range bracket [1].
What happens to a bracket that does not contain the reported price?
If the reported value does not fall in a bracket, that contract resolves to "No" [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
