ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T18:00:06.091Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract for the ZCash price over the window named in its title, 11:20AM to 11:25AM ET on October 26 [1]. The rules say the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that other sources or spot markets do not determine the outcome [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T15:25:00.000Z [1]. That is a closing time, not a record of resolution. The source excerpt does not report a resolved outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-25T18:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-25T19:12:18Z [1]. It shows the Up outcome at 0.5 and the Down outcome at 0.5 [1]. Because this is a historical observation, these figures describe the market at that time only and should not be read as current prices.
These are quoted snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The record does not include order book depth, trade volume, or the number of participants, so it cannot show how liquid the market was or how many traders held each view.
The coverage record lists one market for this event, with no partial sample flag [1]. The saved data includes every market for this event, but it is a single binary contract, so no other outcomes are being compared.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not say what the ZCash price was at the start of the window, what the TWAP was during it, or how the contract settled. Settlement depends on the Chainlink TWAP data stream named in the rules [1], which the snapshot does not include.
The evidence also does not explain why the prices stood at 0.5 and 0.5 at the observation time. Because no other platform's contract for this window appears in the supplied evidence, no cross-platform comparison is possible.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T18:00:06.091Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term Polymarket contract on the price of ZCash (ZEC) in US dollars. The contract's title, ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET, names a five-minute window. The rules say the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of ZEC over that window is greater than or equal to the price at the start of the window, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The contract therefore asks about the direction of the price over the window rather than a fixed price level. The resolution source is Chainlink. The rules name the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream as the reference, and state that the market concerns this Chainlink data stream and not other sources or spot markets [1]. Anyone reading a price on a different exchange or aggregator should expect that it may differ from what this contract uses. The event record shows the contract as active at its observation time, with a listed end time of 2026-10-26T15:25:00Z [1]. The listed end time is the scheduled close of the contract, not a record of how it resolved. The evidence available here does not include a final outcome, so this article does not state which side won.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink ZEC/USD time-weighted average price across the stated five-minute window ends at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because it uses a time-weighted average rather than a single trade, the result depends on how the price moved across the whole window and not only on its endpoints. The rules limit the outcome to this one data stream, so the contract is a narrow test of that feed's readings rather than a general forecast of ZCash's market price. The observed sample shows two outcomes, Up and Down, each at 0.5 at the observation time of 2026-10-25T18:00:06Z [1]. Those figures are a snapshot of listed prices at that moment. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they do not show how the contract was trading later. The sample includes all saved markets for this single event, so it describes this contract only.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-25 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as an Up result?
The contract resolves to Up if the Chainlink ZEC/USD time-weighted average price over the 11:20AM to 11:25AM ET window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window [1].
Which price source decides the outcome?
The rules specify the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream and state that other sources or spot markets do not determine the result [1].
Does a price of 0.5 mean the outcome is 50 percent likely?
No. The listed prices are snapshots at an observation time, not verified probabilities or executable quotes [1]. The evidence here does not establish the final outcome.
When does the contract end?
The listed end time in the event record is 2026-10-26T15:25:00Z [1]. That is the scheduled close and does not confirm how the market resolved.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.