Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3

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Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3

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$0.00

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Kalshi

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9 markets tracked

Will The Kroger Co. report Above -2% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will The Kroger Co. report Above -2% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	95%
Will The Kroger Co. report Above -1% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	89%
Will The Kroger Co. report Above -0.5% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	80%
Will The Kroger Co. report Above 0% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	65%
Will The Kroger Co. report Above 0.5% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	43%
Will The Kroger Co. report Above 1% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	29%
Will The Kroger Co. report Above 1.5% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	19%
Will The Kroger Co. report Above 2% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	10%
Will The Kroger Co. report Above 3% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

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95%

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$0.00

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About This Event

identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026 If The Kroger Co. reports Above X identical sales growth, excl. fuel, in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026 

If The Kroger Co. reports Above X identical sales growth, excl. fuel, in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If The Kroger Co. reports Above -2.0% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand name"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will The Kroger Co. report Above -2% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will The Kroger Co. report Above -1% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will The Kroger Co. report Above -0.5% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 80.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will The Kroger Co. report Above 3% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will The Kroger Co. report Above 2% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will The Kroger Co. report Above 1.5% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will The Kroger Co. report Above 1% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will The Kroger Co. report Above 0.5% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will The Kroger Co. report Above 0% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3

Volume$0.00

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KALSHI

Will The Kroger Co. report Above -2% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.0¢No 5.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will The Kroger Co. report Above -2% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

If The Kroger Co. reports Above -2.0% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand name

KALSHI

Will The Kroger Co. report Above -1% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.0¢No 11.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will The Kroger Co. report Above -1% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

If The Kroger Co. reports Above -1.0% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand name

KALSHI

Will The Kroger Co. report Above -0.5% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 80.0¢No 20.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will The Kroger Co. report Above -0.5% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

If The Kroger Co. reports Above -0.5% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand name

KALSHI

Will The Kroger Co. report Above 0% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 65.0¢No 35.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will The Kroger Co. report Above 0% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

If The Kroger Co. reports Above 0.0% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names

KALSHI

Will The Kroger Co. report Above 0.5% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 43.0¢No 57.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will The Kroger Co. report Above 0.5% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

If The Kroger Co. reports Above 0.5% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names

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48¢

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Will The Kroger Co. report Above -2% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

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Events (1)

Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3

Markets (9)

Will The Kroger Co. report Above -2% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

Will The Kroger Co. report Above -2% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

Will The Kroger Co. report Above -1% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

Will The Kroger Co. report Above -1% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

Will The Kroger Co. report Above -0.5% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

Will The Kroger Co. report Above -0.5% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

Will The Kroger Co. report Above 0% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

Will The Kroger Co. report Above 0% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

Will The Kroger Co. report Above 0.5% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

Will The Kroger Co. report Above 0.5% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

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Will The Kroger Co. report Above -2% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3

Will The Kroger Co. report Above -2% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

Will The Kroger Co. report Above -2% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

Will The Kroger Co. report Above -1% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

Will The Kroger Co. report Above -1% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

Will The Kroger Co. report Above -0.5% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

Will The Kroger Co. report Above -0.5% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

Will The Kroger Co. report Above 0% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

Will The Kroger Co. report Above 0% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

Will The Kroger Co. report Above 0.5% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

Will The Kroger Co. report Above 0.5% identical sales growth (excl. fuel) in Q3 2026?

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