Sioux Falls: Braden Shick vs Max Hans Rehberg
PM $682.45
1
17
Sioux Falls: Braden Shick vs Max Hans Rehberg
PM $682.45
1
17
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Completed Match at 52%.
Polymarket
- Completed Match52%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $682.45
Reported volume · provider units
17
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the tennis match between Braden Shick and Max Hans Rehberg in the Sioux Falls, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Braden Shick' if Braden Shick advances against Max Hans Rehberg. This market will resolve to 'Max Hans Rehberg' if Max Hans Rehberg advances against Braden Shick. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T09:00:05.886Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied Polymarket event covers a tennis match between Braden Shick and Max Hans Rehberg in Sioux Falls, described as "originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET" [1]. The main winner contract resolves to the player who advances. The primary resolution source is "official information from the ATP Tour," and "A consensus of credible reporting may also be used" [1].
The rules also set a 50-50 outcome if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, is a walkover, or has no winner determined "by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET" [1]. That is a resolution deadline written in the contract text, not an announced date for the match. The listed end time, 2026-11-02T15:00:00.000Z, is a separate field and differs from that deadline [1].
Contract wording also varies within the event. "Completed Match" asks who finishes the match, "Set 1 Winner" and "Set 2 Winner" ask about individual sets, and the handicap and over/under contracts measure different quantities. Each contract should be read on its own terms.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-25T09:00:05.886Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-25T10:46:13.957Z [1]. These are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
In the observed snapshot, the Completed Match Yes contract was 0.505 and No was 0.495. The Set 1 and Set 2 winner contracts were each 0.5 for both players [1]. Several match totals showed Over at 0.49 and Under at 0.51, and the Set 1 games lines at 8.5 and 9.5 showed Over at 0.485 and Under at 0.515 [1]. Differences this small should not be read as a meaningful lean. The supplied data includes no volume or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many people hold each view.
Prices should not be compared across unlike contracts as though they measured the same event.
What remains uncertain
This is a partial sample. Twelve of the 17 markets for this event were included [1]. The five omitted markets are not shown, and their prices should not be assumed to be higher or lower. The ranking used Yes price and then volume, so the sample does not represent the full field.
The evidence contains no later prices, match status, or reporting after the snapshot. The phrase "originally scheduled" also means the supplied evidence does not confirm the current schedule. The snapshot therefore describes the recorded moment only and does not indicate current conditions.
References
- Polymarket: Sioux Falls: Braden Shick vs Max Hans Rehberg. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T09:00:05.886Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a Polymarket market on a tennis match between Braden Shick and Max Hans Rehberg, scheduled in Sioux Falls for October 26, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET [1]. The market resolves to 'Braden Shick' if Shick advances against Rehberg, and to 'Max Hans Rehberg' if Rehberg advances against Shick [1]. The provider's listed end time is November 2, 2026 at 3:00 PM UTC, and the event status was recorded as active [1]. The rules cover several outcomes beyond a normal finish. If the match is canceled and not played at all, ends in a tie, or has no determined winner by November 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, which the rules describe as 14 days after the scheduled start, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. If a match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. The primary resolution source named in the rules is official information from the ATP Tour, and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. Because the rules name a date window and a fallback resolution, the contract's settlement depends on what happens in the match and on the sources the rules name, not on any price movement. The market group for this event includes several related contracts, such as completed match, set winner, total sets, game spread, set handicap, match totals and set 1 game totals [1]. The saved sample contains 12 of 17 markets for this provider event, so it is a partial view of the event's markets [1]. Each of these contracts has its own rules, and prices shown for one contract do not describe the others.
Historical Context
The supplied sources do not describe the history of this specific match or of the Sioux Falls event. The Wikipedia page on the 2026 ATP Challenger Tour describes that circuit as the secondary professional tennis circuit organized by the ATP, with a 2026 calendar of 263 tournaments and prize money from $63,000 up to $300,000 [2]. It also notes that 2026 was the 49th edition of the Challenger tournament cycle and the 18th under the Challenger Tour name [2]. The sources do not state that the Sioux Falls match belongs to this circuit, so that connection should not be assumed. A separate Wikipedia page describes a different event, the 2026 Fort Worth Challenger, held in Fort Worth, Texas from October 19 to 25, 2026 [3]. That tournament is unrelated to this contract.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether Shick or Rehberg advances in the scheduled match, with fallback outcomes for cancellation, ties, walkovers and early finishes [1]. For a reader, the rules matter as much as the headline question, since a match that is not played, or that ends without a determined winner by the stated date, resolves 50-50 rather than to either player [1]. The price on each contract is a snapshot from the provider at the time it was observed, not an executable quote or a verified probability. Trading volume also does not show liquidity or the number of participants. Prices for different contracts in the same event should be read against their own rules, since a set winner, total sets or game total market can settle on different facts from the match winner contract [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-25 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
When is the match scheduled to be played?
The contract describes the match as originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET in Sioux Falls [1]. The rules say the original schedule is the reference point for the fallback deadline, which falls 14 days after the scheduled start [1].
What happens if the match is not played?
If the match is canceled and not played at all, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1].
What happens if a player retires during the match?
If a match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
Which sources decide the result?
The primary resolution source is official information from the ATP Tour, and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
Does a price on this market show the chance of a player winning?
The price is a snapshot from the provider and is not an executable quote or a verified probability [1]. The contract's rules determine how it settles, and the price alone does not establish the outcome.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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