Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
PM $0
1
1
Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The contract covers the HYPE/USD price over a five-minute window listed as 12:05AM to 12:10AM ET on November 2. It resolves "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over that range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the range. Otherwise it resolves "Down" [1]. The source names a specific Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source and says the market reflects that stream "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-11-02T05:10:00.000Z [1]. Three timestamps matter here. The provider observed the market at 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z, the source was retrieved at 2026-11-01T09:25:45.622Z, and the contract's listed end time is in the future relative to that retrieval. The contract has not closed or resolved in the evidence provided, so no outcome is known.
Reading the snapshot
The saved Polymarket snapshot lists "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are prices from a single observation at 09:00 UTC on November 1, not a current or executable quote. They can be read as the market's pricing at that moment, but they are not verified probabilities and do not show the price a trader could obtain.
The two prices are close to each other, and the sample contains only these two outcomes for this one market. The coverage record shows one market in one event, with no partial sampling [1]. Because the event is a single binary contract, there is no other outcome whose price could be compared against these.
Volume and trader counts are not in the evidence, so nothing can be said about how many participants are represented or how deep the market is.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices stand where they are. It also does not show whether the Chainlink stream will behave differently from other HYPE price sources during the window, since the contract deliberately ignores those sources [1].
Other Hyperliquid or crypto price markets on other platforms may use different windows, data sources, or close times. Their prices should not be averaged with or ranked against this contract, and a price difference between contracts with different rules is not by itself an opportunity.
The provider's sample warning states that the saved markets do not establish the full set of outcomes a real-world field could have [1]. Here, the binary structure makes that limit less relevant, but the snapshot should still be treated as a record of one observation.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T09:00:05.893Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 1, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a short-window price market for Hyperliquid, titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET." It is listed in the Crypto category on Polymarket and asks whether the HYPE/USD price moves up or down over a five-minute window [1]. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, identified in the contract rules as the hype-usd-twap-60s stream [1]. The rules state that the market concerns only the price in that Chainlink data stream for the HYPE/USD pair, not any other data source or spot market [1]. This matters because a trader reading general market prices for HYPE could reach a different view of the move than the one that determines settlement. The listed end time is 2026-11-02T05:10:00Z, which corresponds to the 12:10AM ET end of the title's window [1]. The contract's provider status at the time of the saved record was active [1]. That record was observed at 2026-11-01T09:00:05Z and retrieved at 2026-11-01T09:25:45Z, so any status or price shown here reflects those moments and not a live reading. The end time is a contract rule for when the window closes, not an announcement of any event, and the actual resolution depends on the Chainlink data as of that window.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a short-term time-weighted average of HYPE/USD, as recorded in one specified Chainlink data stream, finishes at or above its starting level for the window [1]. Using a time-weighted average rather than a single print means the outcome depends on the average across the window compared with the price at the window's start [1]. Because the rules name one data stream and exclude other sources, the contract is narrowly defined around that feed [1]. Prices shown for such a contract are snapshots of trading interest at a moment and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities of the outcome.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-01 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
It resolves Up if the time-weighted average price of Hyperliquid over the window in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window, and Down otherwise [1].
Which price data is used for resolution?
The resolution source is Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
When does the contract's window end?
The listed end time is 2026-11-02T05:10:00Z, which matches the 12:10AM ET end time in the title [1].
Does a price on this market mean the outcome is likely?
No. The saved price is a snapshot from a specific observation time, not an executable quote or a verified probability, and the contract rules do not provide a probability estimate [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
PM $0Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
PM $21.57
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
PM $5Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
PM $0
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
PM $0
Solana Up or Down - November 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.