BNB Up or Down - October 20, 11PM ET
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BNB Up or Down - October 20, 11PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "BNB Up or Down - October 20, 11PM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time in the title. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Binance's BNB/USDT pair, and the source states that the market concerns "the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a BNB contract on another platform should check whether that contract uses the same pair, candle length, and start time.
The evidence lists an end time of 2026-10-21T04:00:00.000Z [1]. The excerpt ties resolution to the candle's finalized data, so the listed end time is a field in the record, not a separate statement of when the candle closes. The evidence does not explain how the listed end time relates to the title time.
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation is timestamped 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-19T08:58:52.677Z [1]. The market status was recorded as active [1]. The quoted prices are Up at 0.5 and Down at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot values from the observation time, not current prices, executable quotes, or verified probabilities.
The sample covers one market from one event, with no partial sampling flagged [1]. Nothing in the evidence supports averaging these outcomes with prices from another platform or event.
Volume and trader counts are absent from this record. The evidence therefore says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold either position.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show why the prices are at 0.5, how they have changed, or what news or market conditions are relevant. It also does not include the BNB open or close values for the candle, so the outcome of the contract cannot be determined from the supplied material. Because the source is a single snapshot, readers should check the live contract page and Binance's data for the current state before drawing any conclusion.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 20, 11PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term price contract titled "BNB Up or Down - October 20, 11PM ET" that is listed on Polymarket in the crypto category [1]. The contract asks whether the price of BNB will be higher or lower over one specific hourly window. It resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time and date in the title. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair. The open and close values shown at the top of the relevant "1H" candle on that chart are used once the data for that candle is finalized [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price on Binance BNB/USDT and not the price on other exchanges or other trading pairs [1]. Anyone reading a price for this contract should therefore check the Binance candle rather than a figure from another venue. The saved provider record lists the event as active, with a listed end time of 2026-10-21T04:00:00.000Z [1]. That listed end time is the time recorded in the provider data. It is not a separate announcement of when the contract will settle or when results will be published. The record also shows a single market in the event, with "Up" and "Down" as its two outcomes [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single directional question: whether the Binance BNB/USDT price at the close of one specific 1 hour candle is greater than or equal to its open. Because the window is one hour and the rule uses a named exchange pair, the result depends on a narrow and clearly defined price movement [1]. The contract does not measure the general direction of crypto markets, the price on other exchanges, or any longer period. Its value to a reader is mainly in understanding the exact rule that decides the outcome.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What decides whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
It resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time in the title. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price source is used?
The resolution source is Binance's BNB/USDT pair. The open and close shown for the relevant 1H candle are used once that candle's data is finalized [1].
Do prices on other exchanges count?
No. The rules say the market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not other exchanges or trading pairs [1].
Does a price shown on Polymarket tell me the likely outcome?
A price on this contract is a snapshot from a saved provider record and is not an executable quote or a verified probability. The source material does not provide a basis for treating it as a forecast [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.