BNB Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
PM $0
1
1
BNB Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T21:00:06.198Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract from the event "BNB Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET" [1]. The rules state that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T19:50:00.000Z [1], which corresponds to 3:50 PM ET on October 26, the close of the window named in the title. That listed time is when the contract is scheduled to close. It is not a record of when the contract resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The saved prices are Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. The provider observed them at 2026-10-25T21:00:06.198Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-25T22:02:05.578Z [1]. These are snapshots from the observation time, not current quotes. They are not executable prices, and they are not verified probabilities. The sample has one market, and the coverage record marks it as complete for this saved event, with no partial sample [1]. Because only one contract is included, there is no other outcome in this sample to compare against.
The two prices sum to 1.00, and the Up price is slightly higher. That is the full extent of what this snapshot shows. The data does not include volume, trade counts, or any explanation of the price level, so it cannot indicate liquidity or how many participants hold either side.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the prices at the time you read this, and it does not confirm that the contract has closed or resolved. It also does not show whether the TWAP will be above or below the starting price, since that depends on Chainlink data that is not included in the supplied material beyond the rules. Cross-platform comparisons are not supported here, because this sample covers one Polymarket contract, and a similar BNB contract elsewhere could use different wording, windows, or resolution sources. Any price gap between such contracts should not be treated as an arbitrage opportunity without checking those differences.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T21:00:06.198Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window crypto price contract on Polymarket titled "BNB Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET." The contract asks whether the price of BNB, measured against U.S. dollars, will rise or fall over a five-minute window. The provider's rules state that the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and otherwise resolves to "Down" [1]. The rules say the TWAP is generated by Chainlink and refers to the BNB/USD TWAP data stream [1]. Because the test uses an average over the window rather than a single moment, a brief spike near the start or end of the five minutes does not decide the outcome on its own. The comparison is between the window average and the starting price. The rules also state that the market concerns the price in the Chainlink data stream for the BNB/USD pair, and not prices from other sources or spot markets [1]. A trader who reads prices on a different exchange could therefore reach a different view from the one the contract applies. The saved record lists two outcomes, "Up" and "Down." In the observation recorded at 2026-10-25T21:00:06Z, the "Up" outcome was priced at 0.505 and the "Down" outcome at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices from that observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome. The saved listing also gives an end time of 2026-10-26T19:50:00Z, which corresponds to the close of the 3:45PM to 3:50PM ET window named in the title [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether BNB's time-weighted average price over a five-minute window, as recorded in a specified Chainlink data stream, finishes at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Its usefulness as a reference depends on the rules: the resolution uses a single named data stream, a defined time range, and a comparison against the opening price. Someone reading the market's price is reading a view of the contract's outcome as priced at one observation time. The price does not describe the BNB market as a whole, and it does not describe any other BNB contract or any other time window.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-25 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What price does this contract use to decide the outcome?
The contract uses the time-weighted average price of BNB generated by Chainlink over the time range in the title, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream [1].
What determines whether the market resolves Up or Down?
It resolves to "Up" if the TWAP over the window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1].
Do prices from other exchanges or spot markets affect the outcome?
The rules state that the market is about the price according to the Chainlink TWAP data stream for BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets [1].
What do the displayed prices mean?
The saved snapshot showed Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 at the observation time [1]. These are snapshot prices rather than executable quotes or verified probabilities of the outcome.
When does the window close?
The saved listing gives an end time of 2026-10-26T19:50:00Z, matching the 3:50PM ET end of the window in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
BNB Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
PM $21.67BNB Up or Down - October 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
PM $21.57BNB Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
PM $0BNB Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
PM $0BNB Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
PM $0
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.