
Will Chuck Edwards leave the House before the midterms?
PM $10.2K · K 10.2K contracts
2
2
Will Chuck Edwards leave the House before the midterms?

PM $10.2K · K 10.2K contracts
2
2
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, Yes is priced at 10% on Polymarket, and the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Before Nov 3, 2026 at 1%.
Polymarket
- Yes10%
Kalshi
- Before Nov 3, 20261%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $10.2K · K 10.2K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
2
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Before Nov 3, 2026 If Chuck Edwards leaves as U.S. representative before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Chuck Edwards must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
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