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Events
GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Will Chuck Edwards leave the House before the midterms?

Will Chuck Edwards leave the House before the midterms?
Vol

PM $10.2K · K 10.2K contracts

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Events

2

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, Yes is priced at 10% on Polymarket, and the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Before Nov 3, 2026 at 1%.

Polymarket

  1. Yes10%

Kalshi

  1. Before Nov 3, 20261%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $10.2K · K 10.2K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Before Nov 3, 2026 If Chuck Edwards leaves as U.S. representative before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Chuck Edwards must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Will Cory Mills leave the House?

Will Cory Mills leave the House?

K 21.2K contracts
Will Cory Mills leave the House before the midterms?Yes 1.3%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

PM $139.5K
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes 33.9%
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes 22.7%
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes 9.9%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
WY-AL House election: Chuck Gray vote percent

WY-AL House election: Chuck Gray vote percent

K 759.71 contracts
Will Chuck Gray receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 WY-AL House election?Yes 96%
Will Chuck Gray receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 WY-AL House election?Yes 93.5%
Will Chuck Gray receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 WY-AL House election?Yes 84%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
TN-03 House election: Chuck Fleischmann vote percent

TN-03 House election: Chuck Fleischmann vote percent

K 2.8K contracts
Will Chuck Fleischmann receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-03 House election?Yes 97%
Will Chuck Fleischmann receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-03 House election?Yes 96.5%
Will Chuck Fleischmann receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 TN-03 House election?Yes 94%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
House Minority Leader of the next Congress?

House Minority Leader of the next Congress?

PM $909.33
Will Jim Jordan be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?Yes 39%
Will Mike Johnson be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?Yes 28%
Will Steve Scalise be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?Yes 25.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
NC-05 House election: Chuck Hubbard vote percent

NC-05 House election: Chuck Hubbard vote percent

K 0 contracts
Will Chuck Hubbard receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-05 House election?Yes 97%
Will Chuck Hubbard receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-05 House election?Yes 96%
Will Chuck Hubbard receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 NC-05 House election?Yes 90%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.