ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T18:00:06.091Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a short-window contract on ZCash published by Polymarket [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream named in the rules, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The title gives the window as "11:45AM-11:50AM ET" on October 26, while the listed end time is 2026-10-26T15:50:00.000Z [1]. The title uses Eastern Time and the listed end time is in UTC, so readers should confirm the conversion themselves.
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation was recorded at 2026-10-25T18:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-25T19:09:11Z [1]. The prices therefore describe that earlier moment and should not be read as live conditions.
In this snapshot, the "Up" outcome was priced at 0.5 and the "Down" outcome at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The provider status was active when recorded [1].
The evidence includes no volume or liquidity figures, so it says nothing about market depth or how many participants are involved.
Only one market from one platform appears in the sample, so no cross-platform or cross-contract comparison is possible. A contract with a different window or different resolution wording would not be directly comparable to this one, even if its price differs.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include the starting price of the window, the TWAP during the window, or any later price. It also does not explain why the two outcomes sit at the same value.
The evidence does not show whether the market has closed or resolved. The only recorded status is "active" at the snapshot time [1].
The sample includes all saved markets for this one event, but the sample warning states that this does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome [1].
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T18:00:06.091Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a short-window price question about ZCash (ZEC) against the US dollar. Its title, ZCash Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET, refers to a five-minute range on October 26. The contract is listed on Polymarket and is classed in the Crypto category [1]. The contract does not ask whether ZCash will end the window higher than it is at some outside reference point. Instead, it compares two values from one price feed. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the stated range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. A TWAP averages the price across the period rather than taking a single trade at the close, so the outcome depends on the average over the window compared with the starting level [1]. The listed end time for the contract is 2026-10-26T15:50:00.000Z [1]. That is the time the provider lists for the market to close. It is not a record of when the market resolved, and the source excerpt does not state a resolution time or outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of ZCash's ZEC/USD price over one short window, as recorded by a specific Chainlink TWAP data stream. Because the rules name that stream as the only reference, the result depends on how that feed records the price, not on the price reported by other exchanges or trading venues [1]. Readers should therefore read the contract's wording closely, since a short-window TWAP can move differently from a headline spot price [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-25 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract compares the time-weighted average price of ZEC/USD over the stated window with the price at the start of that window. If the average is greater than or equal to the starting price, it resolves Up. Otherwise it resolves Down [1].
Which price source is used to settle the contract?
The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval, as named in the contract rules [1]. The rules state that other sources and spot markets are not used [1].
What is the time window for this contract?
The title gives the window as 11:45AM to 11:50AM ET on October 26 [1]. The listed end time in the provider data is 2026-10-26T15:50:00.000Z [1].
Does the contract's price reflect a verified probability?
No. The contract's prices are market snapshots from the provider and are not verified probabilities or executable quotes.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.