Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The saved Polymarket event asks how many rushing touchdowns De'Von Achane records in the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Each contract resolves to "Yes" if his total "equals or exceeds the listed number" [1]. The five saved contracts use thresholds of 1.5, 3.5, 5.5, 7.5, and 9.5 rushing touchdowns [1].

The rules also set edge cases. If Achane does not play in the regular season "for any reason," the market resolves to "No" [1]. If the season is shortened, the outcome uses "available official data for completed games" [1]. If the season is cancelled, or postponed after "January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET," or the count cannot be determined, the market resolves to "50-50" [1]. The stated resolution source is "official information from the NFL," though "a consensus of credible reporting may also be used" [1].

The contracts list an end date of 2027-01-12T23:59:00.000Z, while the event's listed end time is 2027-01-27T04:59:00.000Z [1]. These are closing and listing fields, not confirmed resolution dates. The rules do not establish when a final count will be published.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-16T03:00:06Z, and PredictPedia retrieved the record at 2026-10-16T05:58:55Z [1]. These figures describe that saved moment only. They are not live quotes, executable prices, or verified probabilities.

The saved Yes prices are 0.086 for 5.5 or more, 0.054 for 1.5 or more, 0.052 for 3.5 or more, 0.028 for 9.5 or more, and 0.016 for 7.5 or more [1]. The saved order does not follow the threshold sequence, so compare the thresholds by number rather than by list position. Read these as the market's quoted prices at that time, not as the chance of any outcome. The 1.5 and 3.5 thresholds sit close together, and the 5.5 threshold is the highest-priced of the five.

The sample is labeled complete for this event: all five saved markets were included, and the partial sample flag is false [1]. That covers only the saved contracts. The provider's warning states that the saved list does not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed [1]. Do not infer prices for other thresholds from these five.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why prices are where they are, and it does not show how many traders hold each view. The volume data is not included here, so it cannot indicate liquidity.

Because the contracts use different thresholds and the rules are shared only within this one event, do not average them or compare them with other platforms. Differences in wording, close times, or prices across platforms do not by themselves signal an arbitrage opportunity.

References

1. Polymarket: Pro Football: De'Von Achane 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.