This event has ended. Showing historical data.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?

Name: # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
End: 2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.33K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?

Vol

$1.33K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.33K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.33K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Poly	45%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Poly	40%
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Poly	30%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Poly	24%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?	Poly	8%
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?	Poly	5%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

45%

Top Probability

$1.33K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@M

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@M

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.34)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $228
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.6% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $180
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $180
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 5.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $180
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $180
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $183
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture