Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T00:00:05.826Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This is a single binary market on the ZCash price over a 15-minute window, from 7:30PM to 7:45PM ET. The rules state that the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].

The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a spot price chart or another exchange's quote should expect different reference points. The listed end time is 2026-10-19T23:45:00.000Z [1], which matches the close of the stated window. That timestamp is a contract closing time, not a record that the contract has resolved.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed the market at 2026-10-19T00:00:05.826Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-19T00:52:53.230Z [1]. Those are two different moments, and both are earlier than the listed end time. The provider status was recorded as "active" [1], but this record does not show live prices after the retrieval time.

The saved prices are Up at 0.5 and Down at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot values, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The record contains no volume, depth, or trader count, so it says nothing about how liquid the contract is. Because the two outcomes are equal in this snapshot, there is no price gap to compare against any other contract.

The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record shows one total market, one included, and no partial sample [1]. The sample warning still notes that the saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. For a binary contract, both outcomes are shown, so no outcome was omitted from this event.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show the ZCash price at the start of the window, the TWAP during the window, or the final result. It also does not show any price movement after 2026-10-19T00:00:05.826Z. The source contains no explanation for the 0.5 pricing and no information about news or market activity around this contract.

Readers should check the Chainlink data stream directly for the resolution calculation and consult the provider's current listing for the live status. This snapshot cannot be used to judge whether the contract was fairly priced or how accurate such contracts have been.

References

1. Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T00:00:05.826Z.