Market snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Duke vs Virginia: Spread

Reported volume

K 1.1K contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Duke vs Virginia: Spread

Vol

K 1.1K contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Provider overview

polymarket

Reported lifetime volume

kalshi

1.1K contracts

Reported lifetime volume

Reviewed equivalent pairs

No eligible price comparison

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Price ChartContract price history

29 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Virginia wins by over 2.5 points

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(29)

Market	Platform	Price
Virginia wins by over 2.5 points	Kalshi	51.5%
Virginia wins by over 1.5 points	Kalshi	51.5%
Virginia wins by over 3.5 points	Kalshi	43.0%
Duke wins by over 1.5 points	Kalshi	42.5%
Virginia wins by over 4.5 points	Kalshi	41.0%
Duke wins by over 2.5 points	Kalshi	40.0%
Virginia wins by over 5.5 points	Kalshi	39.0%
Virginia wins by over 6.5 points	Kalshi	36.0%
Duke wins by over 3.5 points	Kalshi	33.0%
Duke wins by over 4.5 points	Kalshi	31.0%
Virginia wins by over 7.5 points	Kalshi	30.0%
Duke wins by over 5.5 points	Kalshi	29.0%
Virginia wins by over 9.5 points	Kalshi	27.0%
Duke wins by over 6.5 points	Kalshi	27.0%
Virginia wins by over 10.5 points	Kalshi	24.0%
Virginia wins by over 11.5 points	Kalshi	23.0%
Duke wins by over 7.5 points	Kalshi	22.0%
Virginia wins by over 13.5 points	Kalshi	20.0%
Duke wins by over 9.5 points	Kalshi	19.0%
Virginia wins by over 14.5 points	Kalshi	18.0%
Duke wins by over 10.5 points	Kalshi	17.0%
Virginia wins by over 16.5 points	Kalshi	16.0%
Duke wins by over 11.5 points	Kalshi	15.0%
Duke wins by over 13.5 points	Kalshi	14.0%
Virginia wins by over 17.5 points	Kalshi	13.5%
Duke wins by over 14.5 points	Kalshi	12.0%
Virginia wins by over 20.5 points	Kalshi	10.0%
Duke wins by over 16.5 points	Kalshi	10.0%
Duke wins by over 17.5 points	Kalshi	9.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 1.1K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

DUKE vs UVA (Oct 23) If Virginia wins by more than X points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Duke vs Virginia: Spread
Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 1.1K contracts
Coverage: 29 of 29 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Virginia wins by over 7.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-UVA8; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 30.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 70.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Virginia wins by more than 7.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Virginia wins by over 6.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-UVA7; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 36.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 64.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Virginia wins by more than 6.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Virginia wins by over 5.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-UVA6; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 39.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 61.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Virginia wins by more than 5.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Virginia wins by over 4.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-UVA5; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 41.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 59.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Virginia wins by more than 4.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Virginia wins by over 3.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-UVA4; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 43.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 57.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Virginia wins by more than 3.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Virginia wins by over 2.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-UVA3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.1K contracts
Outcome Yes: 51.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 48.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Virginia wins by more than 2.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Virginia wins by over 20.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-UVA21; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 10.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Virginia wins by more than 20.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Virginia wins by over 1.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-UVA2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 8 contracts
Outcome Yes: 51.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 48.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Virginia wins by more than 1.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Virginia wins by over 17.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-UVA18; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 13.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 86.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Virginia wins by more than 17.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Virginia wins by over 16.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-UVA17; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 16.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 84.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Virginia wins by more than 16.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Virginia wins by over 14.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-UVA15; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 18.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 82.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Virginia wins by more than 14.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Virginia wins by over 13.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-UVA14; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 20.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 80.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Virginia wins by more than 13.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Virginia wins by over 11.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-UVA12; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 23.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 77.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Virginia wins by more than 11.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Virginia wins by over 10.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-UVA11; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 24.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 76.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Virginia wins by more than 10.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Virginia wins by over 9.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-UVA10; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 27.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 73.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Virginia wins by more than 9.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Duke wins by over 7.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-DUKE8; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 22.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 78.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Duke wins by more than 7.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Duke wins by over 6.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-DUKE7; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 27.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 73.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Duke wins by more than 6.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Duke wins by over 5.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-DUKE6; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 29.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 71.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Duke wins by more than 5.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Duke wins by over 4.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-DUKE5; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 31.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 69.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Duke wins by more than 4.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Duke wins by over 3.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-DUKE4; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 33.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 67.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Duke wins by more than 3.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Duke wins by over 2.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-DUKE3; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 40.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 60.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Duke wins by more than 2.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Duke wins by over 1.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-DUKE2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 42.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 57.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Duke wins by more than 1.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Duke wins by over 17.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-DUKE18; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 9.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 91.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Duke wins by more than 17.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Duke wins by over 16.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-DUKE17; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 10.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Duke wins by more than 16.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Duke wins by over 14.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-DUKE15; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 12.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 88.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Duke wins by more than 14.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Duke wins by over 13.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-DUKE14; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 14.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 86.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Duke wins by more than 13.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Duke wins by over 11.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-DUKE12; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 15.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 85.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Duke wins by more than 11.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Duke wins by over 10.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-DUKE11; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 17.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 83.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Duke wins by more than 10.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Contract: Duke wins by over 9.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAFSPREAD-26OCT23DUKEUVA-DUKE10; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread-26oct23dukeuva
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 19.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 81.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Duke wins by more than 9.5 points in the Duke vs Virginia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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