Market snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/17-10/23)

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K 1.5 contracts

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How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/17-10/23)

Vol

K 1.5 contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Provider overview

polymarket

Reported lifetime volume

kalshi

1.5 contracts

Reported lifetime volume

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5 markets tracked

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Will Trump endorse at least 10 people on Truth Social this week?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Trump endorse at least 10 people on Truth Social this week?	Kalshi	60.0%
Will Trump endorse at least 15 people on Truth Social this week?	Kalshi	43.0%
Will Trump endorse at least 20 people on Truth Social this week?	Kalshi	32.0%
Will Trump endorse at least 25 people on Truth Social this week?	Kalshi	21.0%
Will Trump endorse at least 30 people on Truth Social this week?	Kalshi	11.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 1.5 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Oct 17, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026 If Donald Trump endorses at least X people for their election on Truth Social from Oct 17, 2026 through Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Any formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. Conditional endorsements will qualify. X person cannot be counted more than once in a given week. Examples: Donald Trump states "I endorse [candidate] for [office]" Donald Trump states "I support [candidate]" referencing a political race Donald Trump states "Vote for [candidate]" publicly Donald Trump states "[candidate] has my full support" for [race] Examples that would NOT count: Trump posts a graphic that says "[Candidate] wins" that merely states as fact they were endorsed by President Trump

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Event: How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/17-10/23)
Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 1.5 contracts
Coverage: 5 of 5 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Trump endorse at least 30 people on Truth Social this week?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26OCT23-A30; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpendorsements-26oct23
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 24, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 11.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 89.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Donald Trump endorses at least 30 people for their election on Truth Social from Oct 17, 2026 through Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Any formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. Conditional endorsements will qualify. A person cannot be counted more than once in a given week. 

Examples:
Donald Trump states "I endorse [candidate] for [office]"
Donald Trump states "I support [candidate]" referencing a political race
Donald Trump states "Vote for [candidate]" publicly
Donald Trump states "[candidate] has my full support" for [race]

Examples that would NOT count:
Trump posts a graphic that says "[Candidate] wins" that merely states as fact they were endorsed by President Trump

Contract: Will Trump endorse at least 25 people on Truth Social this week?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26OCT23-A25; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpendorsements-26oct23
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 24, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 21.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 79.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Donald Trump endorses at least 25 people for their election on Truth Social from Oct 17, 2026 through Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Any formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. Conditional endorsements will qualify. A person cannot be counted more than once in a given week. 

Examples:
Donald Trump states "I endorse [candidate] for [office]"
Donald Trump states "I support [candidate]" referencing a political race
Donald Trump states "Vote for [candidate]" publicly
Donald Trump states "[candidate] has my full support" for [race]

Examples that would NOT count:
Trump posts a graphic that says "[Candidate] wins" that merely states as fact they were endorsed by President Trump

Contract: Will Trump endorse at least 20 people on Truth Social this week?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26OCT23-A20; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpendorsements-26oct23
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 24, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 32.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 68.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Donald Trump endorses at least 20 people for their election on Truth Social from Oct 17, 2026 through Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Any formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. Conditional endorsements will qualify. A person cannot be counted more than once in a given week. 

Examples:
Donald Trump states "I endorse [candidate] for [office]"
Donald Trump states "I support [candidate]" referencing a political race
Donald Trump states "Vote for [candidate]" publicly
Donald Trump states "[candidate] has my full support" for [race]

Examples that would NOT count:
Trump posts a graphic that says "[Candidate] wins" that merely states as fact they were endorsed by President Trump

Contract: Will Trump endorse at least 15 people on Truth Social this week?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26OCT23-A15; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpendorsements-26oct23
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 24, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 43.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 57.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Donald Trump endorses at least 15 people for their election on Truth Social from Oct 17, 2026 through Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Any formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. Conditional endorsements will qualify. A person cannot be counted more than once in a given week. 

Examples:
Donald Trump states "I endorse [candidate] for [office]"
Donald Trump states "I support [candidate]" referencing a political race
Donald Trump states "Vote for [candidate]" publicly
Donald Trump states "[candidate] has my full support" for [race]

Examples that would NOT count:
Trump posts a graphic that says "[Candidate] wins" that merely states as fact they were endorsed by President Trump

Contract: Will Trump endorse at least 10 people on Truth Social this week?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXTRUMPENDORSEMENTS-26OCT23-A10; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpendorsements-26oct23
Observed: Oct 18, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 24, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.5 contracts
Outcome Yes: 60.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 40.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Donald Trump endorses at least 10 people for their election on Truth Social from Oct 17, 2026 through Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Any formal endorsement will qualify, including reaffirmations of prior endorsements. If Trump endorses multiple people in an election, all will be counted towards the total. The endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support. Ambiguous statements of support will not qualify. Conditional endorsements will qualify. A person cannot be counted more than once in a given week. 

Examples:
Donald Trump states "I endorse [candidate] for [office]"
Donald Trump states "I support [candidate]" referencing a political race
Donald Trump states "Vote for [candidate]" publicly
Donald Trump states "[candidate] has my full support" for [race]

Examples that would NOT count:
Trump posts a graphic that says "[Candidate] wins" that merely states as fact they were endorsed by President Trump

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

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KALSHIPolitics