Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 18, 2026

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Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 18, 2026

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9 markets tracked

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Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 43.6%?

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 43.6%?	Kalshi	92.0%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 49.8%?	Kalshi	88.0%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 50.6%?	Kalshi	84.0%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 56.6%?	Kalshi	57.5%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 59.1%?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 60.9%?	Kalshi	45.0%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 62.4%?	Kalshi	35.0%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 64.1%?	Kalshi	29.5%
Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 65.9%?	Kalshi	19.5%

Rules & Resolution

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Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC

About This Event

Oct 18, 2026 If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume, open weights share, for Oct 18, 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 19, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 18, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 18, 2026
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 0 contracts
Coverage: 9 of 9 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 65.9%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXOPENSOURCESHARE-26OCT19-T65.9; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxopensourceshare-26oct19
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 3:31 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 19.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 80.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 65.9%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 19, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 18, 2026. 

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 64.1%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXOPENSOURCESHARE-26OCT19-T64.1; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxopensourceshare-26oct19
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 3:31 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 29.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 70.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 64.1%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 19, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 18, 2026. 

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 62.4%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXOPENSOURCESHARE-26OCT19-T62.4; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxopensourceshare-26oct19
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 3:31 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 35.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 65.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 62.4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 19, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 18, 2026. 

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 60.9%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXOPENSOURCESHARE-26OCT19-T60.9; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxopensourceshare-26oct19
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 3:31 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 45.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 55.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 60.9%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 19, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 18, 2026. 

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 59.1%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXOPENSOURCESHARE-26OCT19-T59.1; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxopensourceshare-26oct19
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 3:31 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 59.1%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 19, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 18, 2026. 

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 56.6%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXOPENSOURCESHARE-26OCT19-T56.6; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxopensourceshare-26oct19
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 3:31 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 57.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 42.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 56.6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 19, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 18, 2026. 

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 50.6%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXOPENSOURCESHARE-26OCT19-T50.6; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxopensourceshare-26oct19
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 3:31 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 84.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 16.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 50.6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 19, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 18, 2026. 

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 49.8%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXOPENSOURCESHARE-26OCT19-T49.8; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxopensourceshare-26oct19
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 3:31 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 88.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 12.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 49.8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 19, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 18, 2026. 

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 be above 43.6%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXOPENSOURCESHARE-26OCT19-T43.6; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxopensourceshare-26oct19
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 26, 2026, 3:31 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 92.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 8.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Oct 18, 2026 is above 43.6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 19, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 18, 2026. 

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology