Senyk Mykhailo vs. Shcherbak Yuriy
PM $0
1
5
Senyk Mykhailo vs. Shcherbak Yuriy
PM $0
1
5
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
5
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 16, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the table tennis match between Senyk Mykhailo and Shcherbak Yuriy in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 16 at 7:25AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Senyk Mykhailo' if Senyk Mykhailo wins against Shcherbak Yuriy. This market will resolve to 'Shcherbak Yuriy' if Shcherbak Yuriy wins against Senyk Mykhailo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied material covers five Polymarket contracts tied to one table tennis match, Senyk Mykhailo vs. Shcherbak Yuriy, in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men event. The event description says the match is "scheduled for October 16 at 7:25AM ET" [1]. The three main contract types are different questions. The match winner contract resolves to the player who wins. The game handicap contracts use a spread of plus or minus 1.5 games, and the two handicap contracts are labeled with the players in reverse order. The total games contracts ask whether the match will have over or under 3.5 and 4.5 games.
The rules also set edge cases. The market resolves 50-50 if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, is delayed beyond 7 days without a winner, or ends in a walkover. If a player advances because the opponent retired, defaulted, or was disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. The primary resolution source is "the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers," with a "consensus of credible reporting" as a fallback if final statistics are not published within 2 hours of the event's conclusion [1].
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-16T03:00:06Z and retrieved at 04:25:40Z [1]. They describe that observation only. The match winner and both handicap contracts show 0.5 for each side. Both total games contracts show Over at 0.505 and Under at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The supplied data does not include order book depth, trade history, or volume, so it does not show how much activity sits behind any price.
The listed end time for all five contracts is 2026-10-23T11:25:00Z [1]. This is the contract's listed close time, not an announced event date. It differs in wording from the scheduled match time, so readers should not treat the two as the same timing rule.
Because the sample includes all five saved markets for this event, the sample is complete for the saved provider event [1]. The source also warns that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome for the real-world match.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices sit at these levels, how many traders hold each side, or whether the snapshot still reflects current pricing. Nothing in the supplied material covers match results, player news, or the outcome of the match. Contracts on different thresholds or with different player labels should not be compared as if they were the same question, and the small gap between the Over and Under prices should not be read as a meaningful signal without further evidence.
References
- Polymarket: Senyk Mykhailo vs. Shcherbak Yuriy. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event for a table tennis match between Senyk Mykhailo and Shcherbak Yuriy in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men competition. The source states that the match was scheduled for October 16 at 7:25AM ET and that the market resolves to whichever player wins the match [1]. The event's listed end time is 2026-10-23T11:25:00Z [1]. The rules define several non-standard outcomes. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner being determined, the market resolves to 50-50 [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves to 50-50 [1]. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those final statistics have not been published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1].
Why It Matters
The saved event contains five markets tied to this match: two total games markets (over and under 3.5, and over and under 4.5), a match winner market, and two game handicap markets, each with the two players at plus or minus 1.5 games [1]. Each market is a contract whose settlement depends on the match result, so the rules above determine how each one would settle under different match outcomes [1]. The saved sample includes all markets recorded for this event, but that does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome for the match [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the match winner market resolve to?
The market resolves to the name of the player who wins the match between Senyk Mykhailo and Shcherbak Yuriy [1].
What happens if the match is canceled or ends in a tie?
If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, the market resolves to 50-50 [1].
What happens if one player retires or is disqualified?
If the match begins but is not completed and one player advances because of the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
What source determines the result?
The primary source is the official event statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
