ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 2, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T15:00:06.203Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on the ZCash price over a five-minute window. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the source states that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-11-02T03:20:00.000Z, which corresponds to 10:20 PM ET on November 1 [1]. The contract's listed close is therefore a time-of-day window, not a general forecast about ZCash over a longer period.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-11-01T15:00:06.203Z, and the evidence was retrieved at 2026-11-01T17:30:18.557Z [1]. The snapshot shows the Up outcome at 0.5 and the Down outcome at 0.5 [1]. These are saved prices from that observation time, not current quotes, executable prices, or verified probabilities. The record shows the market status as active at the time of the snapshot [1].
Because only one market is included, no comparison across outcomes on other platforms or other contracts is possible from this evidence. The equal prices simply describe the saved snapshot for this one contract.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include any later price, the trading volume, the number of participants, or the reason for the observed prices, so none of these can be described. Nothing in the supplied material establishes whether the price at the start of the window will match the TWAP during the window, which is the comparison that determines the outcome [1]. The record does not include a final result, and no resolution has been supplied.
The evidence also does not show whether other contracts on ZCash or other platforms use the same rules, close times, or data sources. A difference in wording, close time, or price between contracts would need to be checked against each contract's own rules before any comparison is drawn. The sample includes all saved markets for this event, but the source notes that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1].
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T15:00:06.203Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 1, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-duration binary contract on Polymarket titled "ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET", in the crypto category [1]. The contract asks whether the price of ZCash (ZEC) will finish a five-minute window higher or lower than where it started. The market is listed as active, with a listed end time of 2026-11-02T03:20:00.000Z [1]. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The comparison therefore uses an averaged price across the window rather than a single price at the close, and a result exactly equal to the starting price counts as "Up" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink, specifically its ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval [1]. The rules state that only this Chainlink data stream applies, not other sources or spot markets [1]. A trader reading the contract should therefore focus on that specific feed rather than on prices quoted on exchanges. The contract's title and rules define the measurement window. The listed end time is the point at which the market is scheduled to close, but the rules do not describe a separate announcement or event tied to that time [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of ZCash's price over a five-minute window, judged by a time-weighted average from one named Chainlink data stream [1]. Because the outcome depends on that averaged feed and on the starting price of the window, the result may differ from what a single exchange quote would suggest. The rules explicitly limit the measurement to that feed and exclude other sources or spot markets [1]. Anyone using this contract for analysis should read the resolution language closely, since small differences in how a window is averaged or compared can change the result.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-01 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
It resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that range. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1].
Which price data is used to settle the contract?
The contract uses Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval, and the rules state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
When is the listed end time for this market?
The market lists an end time of 2026-11-02T03:20:00.000Z, and its status is active in the saved provider record [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.