Kovalchuk Oleksandr vs. Plakushchyi Pavel
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Kovalchuk Oleksandr vs. Plakushchyi Pavel
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the table tennis match between Kovalchuk Oleksandr and Plakushchyi Pavel in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for November 11 at 5:25PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kovalchuk Oleksandr' if Kovalchuk Oleksandr wins against Plakushchyi Pavel. This market will resolve to 'Plakushchyi Pavel' if Plakushchyi Pavel wins against Kovalchuk Oleksandr. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-02T00:00:06.223Z. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied event is the table tennis match between Kovalchuk Oleksandr and Plakushchyi Pavel in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for November 1 at 7:25PM ET [1]. The main match contract resolves to the named player who wins. The source also sets out several edge cases. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. A walkover also resolves 50-50. If a match begins but is not completed and one player advances because of retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to that player [1].
The primary resolution source is "the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers." If those statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, "a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-11-09T00:25:00.000Z [1]. That is the contract's listed close, not a confirmed result date.
Reading the snapshot
The snapshot was observed on 2026-11-02 and retrieved on 2026-11-07. It is archived, so it describes the market at observation time and does not show current prices or status. On Polymarket, the match winner contract showed Kovalchuk Oleksandr at 0.38 and Plakushchyi Pavel at 0.62 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The set includes five markets from one provider event: two total games contracts (Over and Under 3.5, and Over and Under 4.5), two game handicap contracts with mirrored wording, and the match winner contract. In the total games contracts, Over was 0.505 and Under was 0.495 in both listings [1]. Both handicap contracts were priced at 0.5 for each side [1]. The two handicap listings use reversed names, so they should be read as separate contracts with their own wording rather than as a pair to compare for an arbitrage. Price differences between contracts with different thresholds or wording do not establish a mispricing.
The evidence includes no volume or liquidity figures for these markets, so it does not indicate depth or the number of participants.
What remains uncertain
The sample covers all five saved markets for this event on one platform, with no partial sample flag [1]. The source also notes that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. No other platform's prices are supplied, so no cross-platform comparison is possible.
The evidence does not show the match result, whether the match was completed, or whether the contract has resolved. It also does not explain any price movement. A reader should check the official event statistics and current market status before drawing conclusions about the outcome.
References
- Polymarket: Kovalchuk Oleksandr vs. Plakushchyi Pavel. Provider data observed 2026-11-02T00:00:06.223Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 7, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This contract is a binary prediction market on the result of a table tennis match between Kovalchuk Oleksandr and Plakushchyi Pavel in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men event. The event's listing states that the match was scheduled for November 1 at 7:25PM ET [1]. The listed end time for the market is 2026-11-09T00:25:00Z [1]. The market resolves to the name of the player who wins the match [1]. The rules also set outcomes for unusual endings. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner being determined, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. If a match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers [1]. If those final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, the rules allow a consensus of credible reporting to be used instead [1]. The related markets in the saved event cover total games over or under thresholds and game handicaps for the same match. Their exact game-counting rules are not described in the supplied event text, so this article does not explain how those totals are counted.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which player wins one scheduled table tennis match. Because the rules define 50-50 settlements for cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days, and walkovers, the contract also addresses cases where no winner is determined [1]. Its price reflects the market's view of the outcome at the time of a given snapshot, which is not the same as a verified probability of victory. The rules name the official event statistics as the primary resolution source, with credible reporting as a fallback after 2 hours [1].
Snapshot context
The archived provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-02 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if the match is canceled or does not finish?
If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. If the match begins but is not completed and one player advances because of the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
What happens if a player withdraws before the match starts?
A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, resolves the market 50-50 [1].
What source decides the result?
The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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