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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

MLB: AL Comeback Player of the Year

Name: MLB: AL Comeback Player of the Year
End: 2026-12-19T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$3.71K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

MLB: AL Comeback Player of the Year

Vol

$3.71K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $3.71K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.71K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?	Poly	53%
Will Mike Trout win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?	Poly	32%
Will Jonathan India win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?	Poly	14%
Will Anthony Santander win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?	Poly	14%
Will Kristian Campbell win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?	Poly	14%
Will Zack Gelof win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?	Poly	13%
Will Gerrit Cole win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?	Poly	10%
Will Adley Rutschman win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?	Poly	9%
Will Anthony Volpe win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?	Poly	8%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

53%

Top Probability

$3.71K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared wi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, August 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** MLB: AL Comeback Player of the Year
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 19, 2026 (128 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared wi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will re"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.3K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.11)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 19, 2026): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Adley Rutschman win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 19, 2026): Vol $14
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Jonathan India win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 19, 2026): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.1% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Kristian Campbell win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 19, 2026): Vol $14
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Gerrit Cole win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 19, 2026): Vol $20
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Mike Trout win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 19, 2026): Vol $110
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Anthony Volpe win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 19, 2026): Vol $14
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Anthony Santander win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 19, 2026): Vol $14
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.1% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Zack Gelof win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 19, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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