Eredivisie Champion
PM $13.0K · K 4.9K contracts
2
36
Eredivisie Champion
PM $13.0K · K 4.9K contracts
2
36
Polymarket vs Kalshi
Snapshot from
As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, Eindhoven is priced at 46% on Polymarket and 55.5% on Kalshi.
| Outcome (Yes price) | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| EindhovenSame question, fine print differs | 46% | 55.5% | 9.5 pts |
| FeyenoordSame question, fine print differs | 39% | 18% | 21.0 pts |
| AjaxSame question, fine print differs | 20% | 13% | 7.0 pts |
| TwenteSame question, fine print differs | 18.9% | 5.5% | 13.4 pts |
| AZSame question, fine print differs | 6.5% | 5.5% | 1.0 pts |
| NECSame question, fine print differs | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Den HaagSame question, fine print differs | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3 pts |
| CambuurSame question, fine print differs | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1 pts |
Yes prices for outcomes an automated review found to ask the same question on both platforms. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $13.0K · K 4.9K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
36
Saved contracts
18
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
2026-27 Season If X is the 2026-27 Eredivisie champion, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-11T15:00:06.407Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The two events share a title, but their rules differ. Kalshi's contract resolves to Yes "If X is the 2026-27 Eredivisie champion," and the market "will close and expire after a title holder is declared" [1]. Polymarket resolves a listed club to Yes if it "is determined as the champion of the Eredivisie for the 2026-27 season" and to No if it becomes impossible for that club to be named champion [2]. Polymarket also states that if several teams are declared winners, the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically wins, and that the market resolves to "Other" if the event is cancelled or a champion is not declared within its stated timeframe [2]. The supplied Kalshi excerpt does not include equivalent tie or cancellation language, so those cases cannot be compared from this evidence.
The listed close times also differ. Polymarket lists an end time of 2027-08-01T03:59:00.000Z [2]. The Kalshi market records show an end date of 2027-06-07T02:00:00.000Z, but the Kalshi excerpt says its listed end time is not supplied [1]. These are contract rules and listed times, not announced event dates.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-11-11T15:00:06.407Z and retrieved at 2026-11-11T16:08:25.420Z. They describe that snapshot only and are not current quotes or verified probabilities.
On Kalshi, the highest included Yes price is Eindhoven at 0.565, followed by Feyenoord at 0.215 and Ajax at 0.135 [1]. On Polymarket, the highest included Yes price is PSV Eindhoven at 0.46, followed by Feyenoord at 0.39, Ajax at 0.2, and Twente at 0.189 [2].
Each platform's sample includes 12 of 18 markets. The omitted markets are not shown, so they should not be read as having lower prices. The two samples should not be combined into one ranking.
The Feyenoord and Ajax prices differ between platforms. Those gaps reflect separate contracts with different wording, close times, and resolution rules. They do not establish an arbitrage opportunity, and this evidence does not explain why the prices differ.
The titles also do not map one to one. Kalshi uses "Eindhoven" and "Enschede," while Polymarket uses "PSV Eindhoven" and "Twente" [1][2]. This evidence does not confirm that these names refer to the same contract outcomes, so they should not be treated as equivalent without checking the rules.
What remains uncertain
This evidence does not explain price movements, indicate how many traders hold each view, or report recent news. It also does not show volume, liquidity, or executable prices.
Neither contract has resolved. Polymarket says resolution will rely on "official information from the Eredivisie," and that "a consensus of credible reporting may also be used" [2]. The Kalshi excerpt states that Kalshi "is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League" [1].
References
- Kalshi: Eredivisie Champion. Provider data observed 2026-11-11T15:00:06.407Z.
- Polymarket: Eredivisie: 2026-27 Winner. Provider data observed 2026-11-11T15:00:06.407Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 11, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
The Eredivisie Champion contracts concern which club will win the 2026-27 Eredivisie, the top football league in the Netherlands. The Eredivisie is described as the highest league in Dutch football, and it has been the top tier since 1956 [4]. The 2026-27 edition is described as the 71st season, with league games scheduled between 7 August 2026 and 23 May 2027 [5]. Those scheduled dates describe the season calendar, not a confirmed record of what has happened. The same description notes that the league is also known as VriendenLoterij Eredivisie for sponsorship reasons, and that PSV Eindhoven are the three-time defending champions [5]. The market data covers three related provider events. One is a Kalshi event that resolves to Yes for a club that is the 2026-27 champion [1]. Two are Polymarket events, one for the 2026-27 winner [3] and one for the 2026-27 runner-up [2]. Each Polymarket event has a listed end time of 2027-08-01T03:59:00.000Z [2][3]. The Kalshi event has a market end date of 2027-06-07T02:00:00.000Z for the individual contracts in the sample. The Kalshi event states that the market will close and expire after a title holder is declared [1]. Because these are different platforms with different rules, their dates and prices should be read separately. The contract rules set out how each market resolves. The Kalshi champion contract resolves to Yes if the named club wins the 2026-27 title [1]. The Polymarket winner contract resolves to Yes if the listed club is determined to be champion for that season [3]. The Polymarket runner-up contract works the same way for second place [2]. Both Polymarket contracts resolve to No for a listed participant once it becomes impossible for that club to win or finish as runner-up under Eredivisie rules, such as when a club is eliminated [2][3]. The rules also address unusual outcomes. If several teams are declared winners or runners-up, the Polymarket contract resolves in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically [2][3]. If the event is cancelled, is postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if no champion or runner-up is declared within that timeframe, the Polymarket contract resolves to "Other" [2][3]. The stated resolution source for the Polymarket contracts is "official information from the Eredivisie", although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [2][3]. For the Kalshi event, the excerpt includes a statement that the platform is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or officially connected to the governing league [1]. ## Price snapshot scope The price figures come from a snapshot observed on 6 November 2026 at 12:00 UTC and retrieved the same day [1][2][3]. They are not live quotes and should not be read as verified probabilities. Each of the three events includes only 12 of its 18 markets in the sample, so the sample is partial and omitted outcomes are not shown. Prices in the sample should be compared only within the same provider event. Price differences between platforms do not by themselves indicate an opportunity, because the contracts have different rules, timing, and platform terms.
Historical Context
The Dutch football champions are the winners of the highest league in Dutch football, which since 1956 has been the Eredivisie [4]. The 2026-27 season is described as the 71st season of the Eredivisie [5]. Beyond these points, the supplied background does not describe earlier champions or league history, so this article does not add further detail.
Why It Matters
The contracts measure which club will be named champion of the 2026-27 Eredivisie, or which club will finish as runner-up, depending on the event [1][2][3]. A champion contract is designed to resolve once a title holder is declared, and the Kalshi event states that it will close and expire at that point [1]. The Polymarket runner-up and winner contracts resolve on official league information or credible reporting, and they include rules for eliminated clubs, ties in declarations, and cancellations or delays [2][3]. Readers should note that the listed end times are contract rule dates and do not confirm when the season will conclude or when a result will be declared.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-06 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi and Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if two clubs are declared champions?
For the Polymarket winner contract, the market resolves in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically if multiple teams are declared winners [3]. The runner-up contract uses the same alphabetical rule if multiple teams are declared second-place finishers [2].
When does a contract resolve to Other?
The Polymarket contracts resolve to Other if the event is cancelled, if it is postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if a champion or runner-up has not been declared within that timeframe [2][3].
Does a contract price show the probability of a club winning?
The price figures are snapshots observed on 6 November 2026 and are not verified probabilities or executable quotes [1][2][3]. They reflect only the 12 included markets in each partial sample, so prices should not be used as a complete ranking of the field.
Why might the same club have different prices on different platforms?
The Kalshi and Polymarket contracts have different rules and listed timing, as shown in their resolution terms [1][2][3]. A price difference between contracts on different platforms does not by itself mean an arbitrage opportunity, because the contracts may not resolve identically.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
4
Same-question pairs
18
Largest saved gap: 21.0 percentage points.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
