UD Poblense vs. AD Ceuta FC - First Team to Score
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UD Poblense vs. AD Ceuta FC - First Team to Score
PM $0
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 16, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
In the upcoming match between UD Poblense and AD Ceuta FC, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "UD Poblense" if UD Poblense are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AD Ceuta FC" if AD Ceuta FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved event covers the match between UD Poblense and AD Ceuta FC, which the source lists as scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET [1]. Three markets are saved for this event: UD Poblense to score first, AD Ceuta FC to score first, and neither team scoring first [1]. Each market resolves only on the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1].
The wording differs in one important way. The first two markets name a team, while the third asks whether neither team will score first. The source states that if neither team scores within that window, the market resolves "Neither" [1]. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the match is completed. If it is canceled with no make-up game, it resolves "Neither" [1]. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-16T03:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T04:34:16Z [1]. These are snapshot times, not the current state of the markets. The listed end time for all three markets is 2026-10-28T18:00:00Z [1].
At the observation time, each market showed a Yes price of 0.49 and a No price of 0.51 [1]. Those prices are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Because the three Yes prices sum to 1.47, they do not form a set that adds to one. That gap should not be read as an arbitrage opportunity, since the snapshot does not show bid and ask depth or whether the prices could be traded at those levels.
Coverage is complete for this saved event: three of three markets were included, and the sample is not marked partial [1]. The source still notes that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. The volume figures are not included in this snapshot, so they cannot be used to judge liquidity.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices are at their observed levels, and it contains no recent match news, team information, or trader count. The source does not show whether prices have changed since the observation time. Resolution depends on the official statistics first, with Flashscore and Sofascore as fallbacks, and then credible reporting if needed [1]. Revisions to final scores made after resolution will not be counted [1]. Readers should check the current market page and the official resolution terms before relying on any price.
References
- Polymarket: UD Poblense vs. AD Ceuta FC - First Team to Score. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket contract on the first team to score in the scheduled match between UD Poblense and AD Ceuta FC, listed under Sports. The provider lists the match for October 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, and the listed end time for the contract is 2026-10-28T18:00:00 UTC [1]. The contract is a prediction market, so its prices are market snapshots rather than verified probabilities or executable quotes. The contract has three separate markets within one provider event. One asks whether UD Poblense will be the first team to score, one asks whether AD Ceuta FC will be the first team to score, and one asks whether neither team will score first [1]. Each market is a yes or no contract, so the outcomes are separate questions about the same match rather than a single ranked field. The resolution window is limited to the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1]. If neither team scores within that window, the market resolves to Neither. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to Neither [1]. The provider names an official resolution source hierarchy. The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, Flashscore data may be used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore may be used, and if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1]. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to Draw where that applies [1]. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution are not accounted for [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures which side, if either, scores first in the first 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time. Because the rules exclude extra time and shoot-outs, a match that is level after regulation time, or that moves past regulation, is judged only on the goals scored inside that window [1]. Traders can compare the three related markets to see how the provider frames the match outcomes, but the prices in those markets reflect trading activity on the platform and are not a forecast endorsed by any source. Any differences between the markets' prices do not by themselves indicate an opportunity, because the contracts are defined and priced separately [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
When does the match in this contract take place?
The provider lists the match as scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, with a listed contract end time of 2026-10-28T18:00:00 UTC [1].
What happens if no team scores in the first 90 minutes?
The market for the first team to score resolves to Neither if neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time [1].
Are extra time and penalty shoot-outs included?
No. The provider states that the market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, and that extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1].
What happens if the match is postponed or canceled?
If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to Neither [1].
Which data source determines the result?
The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, Flashscore may be used, then Sofascore, and then a consensus of credible reporting if neither is available [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
