Amed vs Konyaspor: Spread
K 3.4K contracts
1
4
Amed vs Konyaspor: Spread
K 3.4K contracts
1
4
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 3.4K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
4
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
AMS vs KON (Oct 17) If Konyaspor wins by more than X goals in the Amed vs Konyaspor professional Super Lig soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This event is a Kalshi spread market for the Amed vs Konyaspor Super Lig soccer game. The rules state that if Konyaspor wins by more than X goals, "the market resolves to Yes" [1]. The game is described as "originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026" [1], so the word "originally" signals that the listed date may not be the date the match is actually played. The rules measure the result "after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties" [1]. Each of the four saved contracts uses a different margin threshold, so each one asks a separate question.
Reading the snapshot
The saved prices were observed at 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-17T00:31:23.244Z [1]. These are snapshots from that time, not current quotes, and they are not executable prices. For the Amed-favoring thresholds, the Yes prices are 0.26 for winning by more than 1.5 goals and 0.105 for more than 2.5 goals [1]. For the Konyaspor-favoring thresholds, the Yes prices are 0.085 for more than 1.5 goals and 0.025 for more than 2.5 goals [1]. Each pair of Yes and No prices in the snapshot sums to 1. Reading the four contracts together, the snapshot shows the Yes prices falling as the margin grows, but the prices do not say why any contract was priced as it was.
The sample covers all four saved Kalshi markets for this event, with no partial sample flag [1]. The provider's own sample warning says this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. The volume values are not shown in the evidence used here, so they cannot be read as liquidity or trader activity.
What remains uncertain
The source excerpt says the provider status is "active" and that the listed end time is "not supplied" [1]. The market records list an end date of 2026-10-19T13:00:00.000Z [1]. That field is not confirmed as the match date, and the rules also say the market "will close and expire after a winner is declared" [1]. The evidence does not establish when the match will be played, when the market will actually close, or how it will be settled. Since the snapshot is from October 16, 2026, the reader should check the live provider page before relying on any price. These four contracts also should not be compared with prices on other platforms, since wording and close conditions may differ.
References
- Kalshi: Amed vs Konyaspor: Spread. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event titled "Amed vs Konyaspor: Spread", a goal-margin contract tied to a professional Super Lig soccer game that was originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 [1]. The contract does not ask who wins the match. It asks whether one side wins by more than a stated number of goals. Under the rules quoted by the provider, the margin is measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and extra time and penalty shootouts are not counted [1]. If the stated margin is exceeded, the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise it resolves to No. The saved event contains four binary contracts. Two ask whether Amed wins by more than 1.5 goals or by more than 2.5 goals. The other two ask the same questions for Konyaspor. Each contract is a separate yes or no question, so a single outcome can make more than one contract resolve to No at the same time. For example, a result in which Amed wins by two goals resolves the 1.5 goal Amed contract to Yes while the 2.5 goal Amed contract resolves to No. The provider states that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or officially connected with the governing league, and that trademarks belong to their respective owners [1]. The event also states that the market will close and expire after a winner is declared [1]. The provider's listed end time for the event was not supplied [1]. The end date stored on each contract record is a data field from the provider and should not be read as an announced match time or as a confirmed settlement date.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the margin of victory rather than the match winner. A buyer of the Yes side of a 1.5 goal contract is betting that the named team's winning margin will be at least two goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time [1]. Because extra time and penalties are excluded, a match that goes to those stages is judged only on the score at the end of regulation under the stated rules [1]. Readers should check the exact threshold, the team named in each contract, and the regulation-time definition before interpreting any contract. Prices on a contract are market snapshots and are not guaranteed fill prices, so they should be treated as reference points rather than as verified probabilities.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Amed vs Konyaspor spread contract ask?
It asks whether one named team wins by more than a stated number of goals. The provider describes the question as whether Konyaspor wins by more than X goals in the scheduled Super Lig game, with the market resolving to Yes if that threshold is exceeded [1].
Are extra time and penalties counted?
No. The provider states that the measurement uses the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and does not include extra time or penalties [1].
Is Kalshi affiliated with the league?
The provider states that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League [1].
When does the market close?
The provider states that the market will close and expire after a winner is declared [1]. The event's listed end time was not supplied [1], so no specific closing time should be assumed from this entry.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
