Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
PM $0
1
1
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET" [1]. According to the saved rules, it resolves to "Up" if "the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T03:15:00.000Z [1]. This is the close time shown in the saved record, and it is distinct from the observation time and from the resolution outcome. Readers should not treat the end time as a statement that resolution has occurred.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed the market at 2026-10-19T06:00:06Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-19T08:58:45Z [1]. The saved status is "active" [1]. These are historical snapshot times, not live prices.
The saved quotes are Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The gap between them is small. The record does not include volume, order book depth, or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold each view.
The sample covers one market from one platform. Coverage shows one total market, one included, and no partial sample [1]. Because the sample is complete for this saved event, no outcome has been omitted. Nothing here supports comparing this contract with other platforms or other time windows.
What remains uncertain
The record does not show what the market will do after the snapshot, whether the contract will be traded at these prices, or what the actual TWAP and starting price will be. It also does not explain why the quotes are where they are. The saved evidence contains no current prices, no news, and no historical accuracy data for this kind of contract.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-interval price contract for Hyperliquid, titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET." The contract is listed on Polymarket [1]. Its rules state that it will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The rules name the resolution source as Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The contract is explicit that only this Chainlink data stream counts. It is not based on other price sources or on spot markets [1]. A contract on the same asset that used a different feed or a different averaging method would be a separate contract with its own rules. The listed end time is 2026-10-20T03:15:00Z, which corresponds to the 11:15PM ET close in the title [1]. That end time is a contract rule. It is not an announced event or a statement that anything has happened yet. The market status recorded in the retrieved provider data is active [1], which means it had not closed when that data was retrieved.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of Hyperliquid's price over one five-minute window, as defined by a specific Chainlink TWAP feed rather than by any single trade or exchange price [1]. Because the comparison is between the average over the window and the price at the window's start, the outcome depends on how the price moved across the whole interval, not only on where it ended. Readers should treat the contract as a rule set with a defined data source and end time. The rules do not say what the price will be, and the contract's listed prices are only snapshots of trading activity at a given time.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this contract resolve to Up?
It resolves to Up if the Chainlink TWAP of Hyperliquid over the 11:10PM to 11:15PM ET range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What makes it resolve to Down?
Any outcome that does not meet the Up condition resolves to Down, according to the contract rules [1].
Which price data determines the outcome?
Only the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink is named as the resolution source. The rules say the market is not based on other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the contract end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T03:15:00Z, which matches 11:15PM ET on October 19 [1]. This is the contract's stated end time, not evidence of how the price moved.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
PM $51.44
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
PM $0Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
PM $0Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
PM $0Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
PM $0Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.