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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Counter-Strike: illwill vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Name: Counter-Strike: illwill vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
End: 2026-05-02T21:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$7.02K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Counter-Strike: illwill vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Vol

$7.02K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $7.02K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.02K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5)	Poly	56%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner	Poly	52%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner	Poly	52%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?	Poly	50%
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?	Poly	50%
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?	Poly	50%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	45%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Poly	41%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

56%

Top Probability

$7.02K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between illwill and 100 Thieves in the Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 2 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "illwill" if illwill win the match against 100 Thieves. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against illwill. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner deter

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Counter-Strike: illwill vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 2, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between illwill and 100 Thieves in the Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 2 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "illwill" if illwill win the match against 100 Thieves.

This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against illwill.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner deter

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between illwill and 100 Thieves in the Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 2 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "illwill" if illwill win the match against 100 Thieves.

This market will resolve"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $12.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.63)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Counter-Strike: illwill vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $7.6K
  DATA: [illwill: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [100 Thieves: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Counter-Strike: illwill vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [illwill: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [100 Thieves: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Counter-Strike: illwill vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [illwill: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [100 Thieves: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [100 Thieves: 56.5% (0.0%)] | [illwill: 43.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $4
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $4
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports