Snapshot observed 2026-11-03T03:00:05.814Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The saved Polymarket event covers a Coupe de France match between AS Saint-Ouen-l'Aumône and US Boulogne Côte d'Opale. The event description states that it "contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time" [1]. The match was listed as originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, and the listed end time is 2026-11-14T17:00:00.000Z [1]. Each contract resolves on the halftime result, not the final score, so readers should check the wording of each question before comparing them.

Three contracts were saved: one asking whether AS Saint-Ouen-l'Aumône is leading at halftime, one asking whether US Boulogne Côte d'Opale is leading at halftime, and one asking whether the match is a draw at halftime. All three share the same listed end time [1].

Reading the snapshot

The prices come from a provider observation at 2026-11-03T03:00:05.814Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-03T04:38:14.616Z [1]. These are snapshots, not live or executable quotes, and they may have changed since observation.

The recorded Yes prices were 0.485 for Saint-Ouen leading, 0.485 for Boulogne leading, and 0.31 for a halftime draw [1]. These are three separate contracts, so their prices should not be averaged or combined into a single forecast. Because the two leading contracts and the draw contract are priced independently, their Yes prices together sum to more than 1, which is a reason to read each price on its own terms rather than as one probability distribution. Price differences between contracts do not by themselves indicate an arbitrage opportunity.

Trading volume is not included in this summary, and volume would not indicate liquidity or the number of traders in any case.

What remains uncertain

The coverage record reports 3 total markets, 3 included, and no partial sample [1]. The sample warning states that the saved markets do not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. This snapshot therefore cannot show whether other halftime outcomes exist.

The evidence does not explain why prices are at their recorded levels, and it contains no information about team news, lineups, or other developments. It also includes no recorded result. The listed end time is a provider field, not a confirmed kickoff or result time. Readers should check the current provider page for any later price or status change.

References

1. Polymarket: AS Saint-Ouen-l'Aumône vs. US Boulogne Côte d'Opale - Halftime Result. Provider data observed 2026-11-03T03:00:05.814Z.