ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 2:05AM to 2:10AM ET" [1]. The rules say it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that other sources and spot markets do not determine the outcome [1].
The contract's listed end time is 2026-10-20T06:10:00.000Z, which corresponds to 2:10AM ET on October 20 [1]. That listed end time is when the contract window closes. It is not evidence of when the market will be resolved or settled.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed the market at 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-19T09:25:20.915Z [1]. Both times are earlier than the contract's listed end time. The provider status was active when the record was saved [1]. This is a record of what the market showed at that time, not a live reading.
The saved prices are Up at 0.5 and Down at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome. The record does not include volume, depth, or trader counts, so it says nothing about how liquid the contract was or how many participants held each view.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record shows one market included, with no partial sample flag [1]. Because there is no other market in this sample, no comparison across platforms or contracts is possible from this evidence.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are at 0.5. It also does not show any change in price over time, because only one observation is provided. The saved record cannot tell you the price at the beginning of the window or what the TWAP will be, since those values are not in the supplied sources.
Readers should also note that the title and rules describe a five-minute window, and a similarly titled contract with a different window or a different data source would resolve differently. Comparing this contract with others requires checking each contract's own rules and listed close time.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-duration price contract on ZCash (ZEC) against the US dollar, listed on Polymarket under the title "ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET" [1]. The market has two outcomes, Up and Down, and its title defines the time window it covers, a five-minute range starting at 2:05 AM ET on October 20 [1]. The contract's resolution depends on the price at the start of that window compared with a time-weighted average price (TWAP) over the window. Under the stated rules, the market resolves to Up if the TWAP for the window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the window, and to Down otherwise [1]. The contract therefore asks whether the average price during the window holds at or above the starting level, rather than whether the price is higher at the final moment. The resolution source is named as Chainlink, specifically its ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second TWAP [1]. The rules state that only this Chainlink data stream counts, and not other sources or spot markets for ZEC [1]. Traders reading the contract should therefore look at this specific feed when judging how the market will settle. The listed end time is 2026-10-20T06:10:00Z, and the provider lists the event as active [1]. That listed end time is the contract's closing time under the rules, not a record of when resolution has occurred. The source record does not describe any resolution outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether ZEC's time-weighted average price over a five-minute window, as reported by a specific Chainlink data stream, is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because it is tied to a short window and a particular data feed, the rules matter more than general market commentary about ZCash. Users should read the stated TWAP definition and the named feed carefully, since the contract explicitly excludes other sources and spot markets [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does this contract resolve on?
It resolves to Up if the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to Down otherwise [1].
Which data source determines the outcome?
The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second TWAP, and the rules say other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
What time window does the market cover?
The title specifies October 20, 2:05AM to 2:10AM ET, and the listed end time in the source is 2026-10-20T06:10:00Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.