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Milwaukee vs St. Louis: Home Runs

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Milwaukee vs St. Louis: Home Runs

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31 markets tracked

Andrew Vaughn: 1+ home runs?

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Single-Platform Markets(31)

Market	Platform	Price
Andrew Vaughn: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	28%
Lars Nootbaar: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	14%
Jordan Walker: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	14%
Alec Burleson: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	14%
JJ Wetherholt: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	11%
Jackson Chourio: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	11%
Ivan Herrera: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	9%
Garrett Mitchell: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	9%
Nathan Church: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	8%
Masyn Winn: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	8%
Jake Bauers: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	8%
William Contreras: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	8%
Bryan Torres: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	7%
Brice Turang: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	6%
José Fermín: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	6%
Cooper Pratt: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	5%
Sal Frelick: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	4%
Joey Ortiz: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	4%
Jordan Walker: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	2%
Jake Bauers: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	2%
Lars Nootbaar: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Alec Burleson: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
William Contreras: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Jackson Chourio: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Nathan Church: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Masyn Winn: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
JJ Wetherholt: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Ivan Herrera: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Bryan Torres: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Garrett Mitchell: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Brice Turang: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

28%

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$0.00

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About This Event

MIL vs STL (Jul 9) If X records Y home runs in Milwaukee vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 7:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & X is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price. Y starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price. Y is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resol

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Milwaukee vs St. Louis: Home Runs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** MIL vs STL (Jul 9)

If X records Y home runs in Milwaukee vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 7:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & X is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price. Y starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price. Y is not in the starting lineup but later enters the game, the market will resol

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Andrew Vaughn records 1+ home runs in Milwaukee vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 7:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria
If Andrew Vaughn is scratched or not included in the starting l"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Andrew Vaughn: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Nathan Church: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Nathan Church: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Masyn Winn: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Masyn Winn: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Lars Nootbaar: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Lars Nootbaar: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. JJ Wetherholt: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. JJ Wetherholt: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Jordan Walker: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Jordan Walker: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. José Fermín: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Ivan Herrera: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Ivan Herrera: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Bryan Torres: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Bryan Torres: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Alec Burleson: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Alec Burleson: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. William Contreras: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. William Contreras: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Sal Frelick: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Joey Ortiz: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Jackson Chourio: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Jackson Chourio: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Jake Bauers: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Jake Bauers: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Garrett Mitchell: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Garrett Mitchell: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Cooper Pratt: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Brice Turang: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Brice Turang: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Milwaukee vs St. Louis: Home Runs

Volume$0.00

Markets31

31 of 31

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KALSHI

Andrew Vaughn: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 27.5¢No 72.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Andrew Vaughn: 1+ home runs?

If Andrew Vaughn records 1+ home runs in Milwaukee vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 7:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Andrew Vaughn is scratched or not included in the starting l

KALSHI

Lars Nootbaar: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.0¢No 86.0¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Lars Nootbaar: 1+ home runs?

If Lars Nootbaar records 1+ home runs in Milwaukee vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 7:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Lars Nootbaar is scratched or not included in the starting l

KALSHI

Jordan Walker: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.0¢No 86.0¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Jordan Walker: 1+ home runs?

If Jordan Walker records 1+ home runs in Milwaukee vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 7:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Jordan Walker is scratched or not included in the starting l

KALSHI

Alec Burleson: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 13.5¢No 86.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Alec Burleson: 1+ home runs?

If Alec Burleson records 1+ home runs in Milwaukee vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 7:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Alec Burleson is scratched or not included in the starting l

KALSHI

JJ Wetherholt: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.0¢No 89.0¢

KALSHICrypto

CLOSING SOON

JJ Wetherholt: 1+ home runs?

If JJ Wetherholt records 1+ home runs in Milwaukee vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 7:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If JJ Wetherholt is scratched or not included in the starting l

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Milwaukee vs St. Louis: Home Runs

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Andrew Vaughn: 1+ home runs?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Milwaukee vs St. Louis: Home Runs

Markets (31)

Andrew Vaughn: 1+ home runs?

Andrew Vaughn: 1+ home runs?

Lars Nootbaar: 1+ home runs?

Lars Nootbaar: 1+ home runs?

Jordan Walker: 1+ home runs?

Jordan Walker: 1+ home runs?

Alec Burleson: 1+ home runs?

Alec Burleson: 1+ home runs?

JJ Wetherholt: 1+ home runs?

JJ Wetherholt: 1+ home runs?

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Andrew Vaughn: 1+ home runs?

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Milwaukee vs St. Louis: Home Runs

Andrew Vaughn: 1+ home runs?

Andrew Vaughn: 1+ home runs?

Lars Nootbaar: 1+ home runs?

Lars Nootbaar: 1+ home runs?

Jordan Walker: 1+ home runs?

Jordan Walker: 1+ home runs?

Alec Burleson: 1+ home runs?

Alec Burleson: 1+ home runs?

JJ Wetherholt: 1+ home runs?

JJ Wetherholt: 1+ home runs?

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