Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The event asks which films will be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards. Each market resolves to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Sound [1]. A film that is not officially nominated when the 2027 nominees are announced resolves "No" [1]. The rules also state that if "no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET," the market resolves "No" [1]. The listed end time, 2027-03-15T03:59:00.000Z, matches that deadline in UTC [1]. The excerpt says nominations "are scheduled to be announced on January 21" [1]. This is wording from the contract rules, not confirmation that an announcement has taken place.

The primary resolution source is official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, but "a consensus of credible reporting may also be used" [1].

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-15T19:06:49.537Z [1]. These are the times of this saved record, not live data. Each market lists Yes and No prices from the same record. For example, the "Dune: Part Three" market shows Yes at 0.845 and No at 0.155 [1]. The "Michael" market shows Yes at 0.415 and No at 0.585 [1]. The "Digger" market shows Yes at 0.225 and No at 0.775 [1].

These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Prices for different films are separate contracts, so a difference between them does not by itself indicate an opportunity. The evidence does not explain why any price stands where it does.

Coverage is partial. Twelve of the fourteen markets in this Polymarket event are included [1]. The sample was ordered by Yes price, then volume, so the two omitted markets are not shown and this snapshot draws no conclusion about their prices. Volume here is not a measure of liquidity or number of traders.

What remains uncertain

The record shows an active status but does not show whether prices have changed since observation [1]. The evidence contains no information on the official nomination announcement beyond the scheduled date stated in the rules. The rules allow consensus reporting as a source, but they do not define how that would be applied [1]. Readers should check the current contract page and the official Academy information before drawing conclusions about any film.

References

1. Polymarket: Oscars 2027: Best Sound Nominations. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.