GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Pro Football: Jake Ferguson 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns

Name: Pro Football: Jake Ferguson 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns
End: 2027-01-12T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$752.30

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Pro Football: Jake Ferguson 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns

Vol

$752.30

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $752.30

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $752.30

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Jake Ferguson have 0.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Jake Ferguson have 0.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	93%
Will Jake Ferguson have 2.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	86%
Will Jake Ferguson have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	54%
Will Jake Ferguson have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	50%
Will Jake Ferguson have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Poly	34%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

93%

Top Probability

$752.30

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns Jake Ferguson records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Jake Ferguson does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed game

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Pro Football: Jake Ferguson 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 12, 2027 (130 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns Jake Ferguson records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Jake Ferguson does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed game

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns Jake Ferguson records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 0.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Jake Ferguson does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will r"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $752
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.33)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Jake Ferguson have 0.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 12, 2027): Vol $424
  DATA: [Yes: 93.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Jake Ferguson have 2.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 12, 2027): Vol $244
  DATA: [Yes: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Jake Ferguson have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 12, 2027): Vol $21
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Jake Ferguson have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 12, 2027): Vol $55
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Jake Ferguson have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 12, 2027): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Pro Football: Jake Ferguson 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns

Volume$752.30

Markets5

5 of 5

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will Jake Ferguson have 0.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 93.2¢No 6.8¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Jake Ferguson have 0.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns Jake Ferguson records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 0.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Jake Ferguson does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will r

POLYMARKET

Will Jake Ferguson have 2.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 86.0¢No 14.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Jake Ferguson have 2.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns Jake Ferguson records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 2.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Jake Ferguson does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will r

POLYMARKET

Will Jake Ferguson have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Jake Ferguson have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns Jake Ferguson records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 4.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Jake Ferguson does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will r

POLYMARKET

Will Jake Ferguson have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Jake Ferguson have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns Jake Ferguson records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 8.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Jake Ferguson does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will r

POLYMARKET

Will Jake Ferguson have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 34.0¢No 66.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Jake Ferguson have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns Jake Ferguson records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 6.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Jake Ferguson does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will r

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Next Market Closes

129d 1h remaining

Jan 12, 2027 11:59 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

63¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/WXVn3n" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Pro Football: Jake Ferguson 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns"></iframe>

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Pro Football: Jake Ferguson 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns

Pro Football: Jake Ferguson 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns

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Will Jake Ferguson have 0.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Pro Football: Jake Ferguson 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns

Markets (5)

Will Jake Ferguson have 0.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Will Jake Ferguson have 0.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Will Jake Ferguson have 2.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Will Jake Ferguson have 2.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Will Jake Ferguson have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Will Jake Ferguson have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Will Jake Ferguson have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Will Jake Ferguson have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Will Jake Ferguson have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Will Jake Ferguson have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Jake Ferguson have 0.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Pro Football: Jake Ferguson 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns

Will Jake Ferguson have 0.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Will Jake Ferguson have 0.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Will Jake Ferguson have 2.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Will Jake Ferguson have 2.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Will Jake Ferguson have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Will Jake Ferguson have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Will Jake Ferguson have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Will Jake Ferguson have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Will Jake Ferguson have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

Will Jake Ferguson have 6.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

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Discussion

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