How long will Drake's 'Iceman' be? | PredictPedia

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14 markets tracked

How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 30 minutes)

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Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 30 minutes)	Kalshi	87%
How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 40 minutes)	Kalshi	85%
How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 50 minutes)	Kalshi	75%
How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 60 minutes)	Kalshi	70%
How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 55 minutes)	Kalshi	70%
How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 65 minutes)	Kalshi	61%
How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 70 minutes)	Kalshi	53%
How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 75 minutes)	Kalshi	41%
How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 80 minutes)	Kalshi	26%
How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 85 minutes)	Kalshi	15%
How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 90 minutes)	Kalshi	10%
How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 95 minutes)	Kalshi	7%
How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 100 minutes)	Kalshi	6%
How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 120 minutes)	Kalshi	4%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, April 18, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How long will Drake's 'Iceman' be?
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Iceman

If Drake's album titled 'Iceman' is At least X minutes, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Drake's album titled 'Iceman' is At least 95 minutes, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 95 minutes)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 90 minutes)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 85 minutes)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 80 minutes)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 75 minutes)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 70 minutes)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 65 minutes)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 60.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 60 minutes)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 70.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 55 minutes)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 50 minutes)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 75.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 40 minutes)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 84.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 30 minutes)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 86.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 120 minutes)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 100 minutes)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

43¢

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How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 30 minutes)

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Events (1)

How long will Drake's 'Iceman' be?

Markets (14)

How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 30 minutes)

How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 30 minutes)

How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 40 minutes)

How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 40 minutes)

How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 50 minutes)

How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 50 minutes)

How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 60 minutes)

How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 60 minutes)

How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 55 minutes)

How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 55 minutes)

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How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 30 minutes)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How long will Drake's 'Iceman' be?

How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 30 minutes)

How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 30 minutes)

How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 40 minutes)

How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 40 minutes)

How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 50 minutes)

How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 50 minutes)

How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 60 minutes)

How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 60 minutes)

How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 55 minutes)

How long will Drake's album titled 'Iceman' be? (At least 55 minutes)

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Discussion

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