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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

US Pianese vs. ASD Pineto Calcio

US Pianese vs. ASD Pineto Calcio
Vol

PM $0

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Events

1

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Markets

3

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $0

Reported volume · provider units

3

Saved contracts

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 16, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This event is for the upcoming Serie C game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between US Pianese and ASD Pineto Calcio.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The saved event is "US Pianese vs. ASD Pineto Calcio," which the provider describes as "the upcoming Serie C game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026" [1]. The sample includes three Polymarket contracts for this event. One asks whether US Pianese will win on 2026-10-17. Another asks whether ASD Pineto Calcio will win on 2026-10-17. A third asks whether the match will "end in a draw" [1]. The win contracts state the date in their titles, but the draw contract's title does not, so readers should check each contract's wording rather than assume the three resolve identically. All three list the same end time, 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z [1]. That is a listed close time from the provider, not a confirmed resolution time.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-16T04:04:52.860Z [1]. These are snapshots from that window, not live quotes, and they are not executable prices.

The "Yes" prices were 0.385 for a US Pianese win, 0.305 for a draw, and 0.29 for an ASD Pineto Calcio win [1]. The "No" prices were 0.61, 0.695, and 0.71 respectively [1]. Within each contract, the Yes and No prices sum close to 1, but the three "Yes" prices sum to 0.98, not 1. Readers should treat the three contracts as separate observations. Their prices should not be combined into a single probability estimate, and a difference between contracts does not by itself identify an arbitrage opportunity.

The saved data includes all three markets for this event: 3 of 3 with no partial sample [1]. That covers the saved provider event only. The source notes that "This does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1].

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why prices are where they are, does not show trading volume or the number of participants, and contains no information about match news or team status. It also does not establish how accurate prices like these have been historically. Because the snapshot is from October 16 and the listed close is October 17, prices observed later may differ, and the saved record does not show current conditions.

References

  1. Polymarket: US Pianese vs. ASD Pineto Calcio. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTC

Overview

PredictPedia tracks a prediction market tied to the Serie C football match between US Pianese and ASD Pineto Calcio, which the event listing describes as scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 [1]. The provider lists the event as active, with a listed end time of 12:30 UTC on October 17, 2026 [1]. That listed end time is a contract timestamp. It is not a confirmation that the match has been played or that any result has been determined. The event carries three saved contracts. One asks whether US Pianese will win on October 17, 2026. A second asks whether the match will end in a draw. The third asks whether ASD Pineto Calcio will win on that date [1]. Each contract has a Yes and a No outcome, and each is listed with a status of active [1]. The prices in these contracts are snapshots taken at 03:00 UTC on October 16, 2026. At that observation time, the Yes price for a US Pianese win was 0.385, the Yes price for a draw was 0.305, and the Yes price for an ASD Pineto Calcio win was 0.29 [1]. These figures show what the provider reported at that moment. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. Prices can move before the contracts close.

Why It Matters

Each contract asks a yes or no question about a single result of this football match. The win contracts ask whether one specific team wins on October 17, 2026, and the draw contract asks whether the match ends level [1]. Together, the three saved contracts cover the three results that the event lists. The contracts measure whether those stated conditions occur, and their prices reflect what participants were willing to pay for each outcome at the observation time [1]. The listed end time of 12:30 UTC on October 17, 2026 indicates when the contracts are set to close under the provider's rules [1].

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the draw contract ask?

It asks whether the match between US Pianese and ASD Pineto Calcio will end in a draw [1]. At the 03:00 UTC observation time on October 16, 2026, its Yes price was 0.305 and its No price was 0.695 [1].

When do these contracts end according to the listing?

The provider lists an end time of 12:30 UTC on October 17, 2026 for each saved contract [1]. This is the listed closing time in the contract data, and it does not show when the match itself finishes or when a result is confirmed.

Does a price on one contract show how likely the other contracts are?

The three contracts are saved on the same event, but the prices are separate snapshots and are not verified probabilities [1]. A difference between prices does not by itself indicate an opportunity, and no provider source in this set explains why any price moved.

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Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

0

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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