ZCash Up or Down - October 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The contract is titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET" and is listed in the Crypto category [1]. The rules state that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules specify that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The key wording is the TWAP comparison, not the spot price at the end of the window. A different platform or a different ZEC price feed could produce a different result, so contracts with similar titles should be compared by their rules and listed close times, not by their names alone.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot shows one market, with the outcomes "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. These are provider prices observed at 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-15T19:24:32.185Z [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-15T19:15:00.000Z [1]. The record also shows the status as "active," but that status reflects the provider's data at the time of the snapshot.
Because the listed end time falls before the retrieval time, this snapshot should not be read as a live quote. It records what the provider showed at observation time, and the contract's listed close had already passed by the time the record was retrieved. The evidence does not show the final outcome, and nothing here indicates how the contract settled.
A 0.5 price on both sides is a snapshot value, not an executable quote or a verified probability. It does not show how many traders hold each view or how much liquidity sat behind the price. The evidence includes no volume figure for this market.
What remains uncertain
The coverage record reports one market in the saved event, all of which was included, with no partial sample [1]. The provider's sample warning notes that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Since this is a binary Up or Down contract, the two outcomes are the only ones in the saved record.
The evidence does not explain any price movement, does not identify the ZEC price path during the window, and does not confirm the final resolution. Comparisons with other ZEC contracts would need matching rules, matching close times, and matching resolution sources before any conclusions could be drawn.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-interval price contract on Polymarket for ZCash, labeled "ZCash Up or Down - October 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET." The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The market therefore asks a narrow question: whether the average price over the window ends at or above where the window started. The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The source states that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink TWAP data stream for the ZEC/USD pair, and not according to any other sources or spot markets [1]. Trades on other exchanges or in spot markets therefore do not decide the outcome under these rules. The source lists an end time of 2026-10-15T19:15:00.000Z [1]. That end time is the listed close of the contract, not a separate announced event. The saved market record shows two outcomes, Up and Down, each recorded at 0.5 at the observation time. The source was observed at 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z and retrieved at 2026-10-15T19:24:32.119Z, and it reported the provider status as active at that retrieval [1]. Those times are different: the observation reflects when the market record was captured, the retrieval reflects when the source was fetched, and neither confirms how the contract finally resolved.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP over a specific five-minute window is at or above its starting level [1]. Because the rule compares an average over the window with the price at the window's start, the result depends on the time-weighted path of the data stream rather than only on the closing value. The rule's reliance on one named data stream means the outcome is tied to that feed's definition of the price, which is why the source specifies that other sources and spot markets are not used [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
It resolves Up if the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP over the stated range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and Down otherwise [1].
Do prices on other exchanges or spot markets affect the outcome?
The source says the market is about the price according to the Chainlink TWAP data stream and not according to any other sources or spot markets [1].
Does the listed end time mean the outcome has been announced?
The listed end time of 2026-10-15T19:15:00.000Z is the contract's stated end time [1]. The source excerpt does not report a resolution result, so the outcome is not established by this evidence.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
