Buick LPGA Shanghai Winner
K 235.1K contracts
1
80
Buick LPGA Shanghai Winner
K 235.1K contracts
1
80
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 235.1K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
80
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
About This Event
2026 Buick LPGA Shanghai If X wins the Buick LPGA Shanghai, then the market resolves to Yes. If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate prior to teeing off, their contracts will resolve as follows: Tournament Winner and End of Round Leader markets will resolve to No Finishing Position, Make the Cut, Head-to-Head, and 3-Ball markets will resolve to Fair Market Value This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event "Buick LPGA Shanghai Winner" lists separate Yes/No contracts, one per golfer. The event rules state that "If X wins the Buick LPGA Shanghai, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. For withdrawals, the rules say that "Tournament Winner and End of Round Leader markets will resolve to No," while "Finishing Position, Make the Cut, Head-to-Head, and 3-Ball markets will resolve to Fair Market Value" [1]. Readers comparing contracts should check these terms, because a golfer-specific winner contract and a finishing-position contract settle under different conditions. The provider lists the event status as active, and the listed end time is not supplied [1]. Each sampled market shows an end date of 2026-11-01, but this is a contract field, not an announced tournament date, and the rules say the market "will close and expire after a winner is declared" [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-15 16:13 UTC, and the source was retrieved at 18:21 UTC the same day [1]. These prices describe that observation only and are not live quotes. Among the 12 included markets, the highest Yes price is Hye-Jin Choi at 0.34, followed by Jeeno Thitikul at 0.215 and Ruoning Yin at 0.135 [1]. Lower-ranked sampled golfers include Carlota Ciganda at 0.08 and Nanna Koerstz Madsen at 0.0255 [1]. Each price is a snapshot of one contract, so comparisons should stay within this event and this observation.
The sample covers 12 of 80 markets in this provider event [1]. The omitted 68 markets are not shown, so the sample does not reveal their prices or whether they are lower. The selection favored higher Yes prices and then volume [1]. Volume here indicates trading activity, not liquidity or the number of participants, and the saved data does not show how many traders are involved.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices are where they are, and it does not measure forecasting accuracy. It also does not show current prices after the observation time, the tournament status after this snapshot, or any withdrawals. Prices from different platforms, or different events, should not be averaged or ranked together. Differences in wording or close times do not by themselves create an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Kalshi: Buick LPGA Shanghai Winner. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCOverview
The Buick LPGA Shanghai is a women's professional golf tournament in China. It is co-sanctioned by the LPGA Tour and the China LPGA Tour, and it debuted in October 2018 at Qizhong Garden Golf Club in Shanghai [2]. The Kalshi contract titled "Buick LPGA Shanghai Winner" is tied to the 2026 edition of this event [1]. The contract is a winner-style market. Each individual contract asks whether one named golfer will win the tournament. If that golfer wins, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The market set for this event includes many separate golfer contracts, each with its own Yes and No prices. These prices are snapshots taken at a recorded observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. The contract rules also cover golfers who do not play. If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate before teeing off, the rules set different outcomes depending on the market type. Winner and End of Round Leader markets resolve to No. Finishing Position, Make the Cut, Head-to-Head, and 3-Ball markets resolve to Fair Market Value [1]. Readers should check the full rule text before relying on how a particular contract would settle. The market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. The provider's listed end time was not supplied in the evidence, so the timing of final settlement is not established beyond that rule.
Historical Context
The Buick LPGA Shanghai debuted in October 2018 at Qizhong Garden Golf Club in Shanghai. It is co-sanctioned by the LPGA Tour and the China LPGA Tour [2]. This is historical background about the tournament. It does not describe the current status of the 2026 event or of any contract.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether one specific golfer wins the Buick LPGA Shanghai. A Yes outcome occurs only if that golfer is the winner [1]. Because each golfer has a separate contract, the market set reflects many distinct questions about the same tournament rather than a single outcome with several named answers. The rules matter most when a golfer does not play. Under the provider's rules, a withdrawal or forfeit before teeing off changes how each market type settles, with winner-based markets resolving to No and several other formats resolving to Fair Market Value [1]. Anyone comparing contracts should read each market's type before assuming how an absent golfer would affect it.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes a Buick LPGA Shanghai Winner contract resolve to Yes?
The market resolves to Yes if the named golfer wins the Buick LPGA Shanghai [1].
What happens if a golfer withdraws before teeing off?
The rules say that Tournament Winner and End of Round Leader markets resolve to No, while Finishing Position, Make the Cut, Head-to-Head, and 3-Ball markets resolve to Fair Market Value [1].
When does the market close?
The market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. The market records an end date of November 1, 2026, but that is a contract field, not an announced event date or confirmed settlement time.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
