Denver vs Carolina: Touchdowns
K 33.8K contracts
1
45
Denver vs Carolina: Touchdowns
K 33.8K contracts
1
45
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 5, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Chuba Hubbard: 1+ at 49.5%.
Kalshi
- Chuba Hubbard: 1+49.5%
- Jonah Coleman: 1+43.5%
- Tetairoa McMillan: 1+33%
- Jaylen Waddle: 1+32.5%
- Courtland Sutton: 1+29%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 33.8K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
45
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 5, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
DEN vs CAR (Nov 8) If X scores at least 3+ touchdowns in the Denver vs Carolina Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers X vs Carolina Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026. Y is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Z takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on touchdowns scored. Touchdowns scored on fake punts or field goals by the offensive team do not count as a special teams touchdown. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-04T09:00:05.985Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The event, "Denver vs Carolina: Touchdowns," is listed under Sports [1]. Each contract asks whether a named player reaches a touchdown threshold in the game. The rules state: "If X scores at least Y touchdowns in the Denver vs Carolina Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] The phrase "originally scheduled" is worth noting. The rules also describe edge cases, including a player who is active but never takes a snap, who settles to the fair market price before game start, and a clause that the market closes and expires early if the event occurs [1]. Touchdowns on offensive fake punts or field goals do not count as special teams touchdowns [1]. Chuba Hubbard appears at both the "1+" and "2+" thresholds. These are separate contracts with different resolution conditions and should not be read as one outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-11-04T09:00:05.985Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-04T11:28:27.338Z [1]. The prices describe that observation only and are not live or executable quotes. In the sample, Jonah Coleman's 1+ touchdown contract shows Yes at 0.46 and No at 0.54 [1]. Chuba Hubbard's 1+ contract shows Yes at 0.45, and Tetairoa McMillan's 1+ contract shows Yes at 0.285 [1]. These are the Yes prices for each contract, not verified probabilities.
The sample covers 12 of 40 markets from this provider event, so it is partial [1]. Prices are ranked by Yes price within that sample, but the evidence does not show the prices of the 28 omitted contracts, and I cannot infer them from the included ones.
Each included contract lists an end date of 2026-11-10T18:00:00.000Z [1]. The same source also says the listed end time is "not supplied" [1]. Because these statements conflict, the closing time should be treated as unresolved in this evidence. The date is a contract field, not an announced event date.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include volume, liquidity, or the number of traders, so it says nothing about how many participants agree with any price. It also does not explain why any price is where it is. The contracts come from a single provider event, so they should not be compared with prices from other platforms or averaged with them.
References
- Kalshi: Denver vs Carolina: Touchdowns. Provider data observed 2026-11-04T09:00:05.985Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 4, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract belongs to the Kalshi event "Denver vs Carolina: Touchdowns", which covers a Pro Football game between Denver and Carolina originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 [1]. Each market asks whether a named player, referred to in the rules as X, scores at least a stated number of touchdowns in that game. If X reaches the threshold, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The sampled markets are mostly "1+ touchdowns" contracts, with one "2+ touchdowns" contract for Chuba Hubbard, so each contract addresses a different player or threshold rather than a single shared outcome. The rules include several specific provisions. A listed player who never takes a snap is settled at the fair market price before game start, rather than being resolved on touchdowns [1]. A player who takes at least one snap, even if the play is nullified by a penalty, settles based on the touchdowns scored [1]. Touchdowns scored by the offensive team on fake punts or field goals do not count as special teams touchdowns [1]. The market closes and expires early if the qualifying event occurs [1]. The provider also states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league [1]. In the saved snapshot, the highest-priced included Yes contracts were Jonah Coleman with 1+ touchdowns at about 0.46 and Chuba Hubbard with 1+ touchdowns at about 0.45. Tetairoa McMillan's 1+ touchdowns Yes price was about 0.285, Bo Nix's was about 0.15, and Chuba Hubbard's 2+ touchdowns Yes price was about 0.10. This sample includes 12 of 40 markets for this one event, so it is not the full field of player contracts, and the omitted markets should not be read as priced lower. These figures are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and the sample does not include volume or trader counts.
Historical Context
The retrieved Wikipedia article on the 2024 Denver Broncos season describes that season as the franchise's 55th in the National Football League and its 65th overall. It also states that it was the team's fourth season under general manager George Paton, third under the Walton-Penner family group, and second under head coach Sean Payton [3]. This is historical background from a past season article and does not establish the team's current roster, coaching staff, or ownership.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a specific named player scores a set number of touchdowns in one scheduled game [1]. Because each player and threshold is a separate contract, the prices show how participants priced each individual outcome at the snapshot time, not a combined view of the game. The rules matter as much as the price: whether a player is listed but never takes a snap, whether a penalty nullifies a play, and whether a fake punt or field goal touchdown counts can all change how a market settles [1]. Prices are snapshots and do not show executable trades or verified likelihoods.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-04 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if a listed player never takes a snap?
The rules state that a listed player who never takes a snap settles to the fair market price before game start, rather than resolving on touchdowns [1].
Does a player who takes a snap but has the play nullified by penalty still count?
Under the rules, a player who takes at least one snap, even if the play is nullified by a penalty, settles based on the touchdowns scored [1].
Do touchdowns on fake punts or field goals count?
The rules say touchdowns scored on fake punts or field goals by the offensive team do not count as special teams touchdowns [1].
When does the market end?
The rules say the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The saved market record lists an end date of November 10, 2026 at 18:00 UTC, but that is a contract data field and not an announced game date.
Why does a player's Yes price not match another player's price?
Each player has its own contract, so different prices reflect separate markets at the snapshot time. Different contracts are not an arbitrage opportunity merely because their prices differ, and the prices are not executable quotes [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
