Solana Up or Down - October 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
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Solana Up or Down - October 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on the Solana price over a five-minute window, titled "Solana Up or Down - October 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET" [1]. The rules say the market "will resolve to 'Up' if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to 'Down'" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A different exchange price or spot quote would not determine this contract. The listed end time is 2026-10-20T01:10:00.000Z [1]. The title uses Eastern Time, so readers should compare the two time formats carefully.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-19T03:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-19T04:22:56Z [1]. The provider status at retrieval was "active" [1]. The prices below describe that observation, not live conditions at the time you read this.
- Up: 0.505
- Down: 0.495 [1]
These are the only two outcomes for this binary contract, and the prices sum to 1.00. The Up price is slightly above the Down price in this snapshot. This is a quoted price, not an executable quote, a verified probability, or a measure of liquidity. The saved data does not include volume figures, so it says nothing about depth or the number of traders.
The sample is complete for this event: one market was saved and included, and the sample is not partial [1]. Because the sample contains only this contract, no comparison with other markets is possible.
What remains uncertain
The saved evidence does not explain why the prices stand where they do. It also does not show whether the price moved between the observation time and retrieval, or what Solana's price has done since then. The source does not establish whether the market has closed or resolved, and this summary cannot confirm the outcome. Readers should check the provider page and the Chainlink data stream directly for current status and the final result.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term crypto contract on the Solana price, titled "Solana Up or Down - October 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET" in the saved provider record [1]. The contract is a five-minute binary market. It asks whether the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana over the stated window will be at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. The provider rules say the market will resolve to "Up" if the TWAP is "greater than or equal to" the starting price, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The measurement is tied to one specific data feed. The provider states that the resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval [1]. The rules also say the market concerns the price shown by that Chainlink data stream for the SOL/USD pair, and not any other data source or spot exchange [1]. A reader should therefore treat the contract as a question about this one feed's reported figure, not about Solana's price as quoted elsewhere. The saved provider record lists an end time of 2026-10-20T01:10:00.000Z, which corresponds to the 9:10 PM Eastern end of the title's window [1]. The record was observed at 2026-10-19T03:00:06Z and showed the market as active at that time [1]. The window's end date is a contract rule, not a report that the window has already closed or that any outcome has been determined.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a direction over a short, fixed window rather than a price target. Because the comparison is between the TWAP across the window and the price at the window's start, the result depends on the average over the period and not only on the final moment [1]. Anyone reading the contract should check the resolution feed named in the rules, since the provider states that other sources do not determine the outcome [1]. The contract's listed end time also means it is designed to settle shortly after the window closes, so its relevance is limited to that interval [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of Solana over the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window, and to "Down" otherwise, according to the Chainlink TWAP data stream [1].
Which price source is used for settlement?
The provider names the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval as the resolution source, and states that the market is not based on other sources or spot markets [1].
When is the contract scheduled to end?
The saved provider record lists the end time as 2026-10-20T01:10:00.000Z, which matches the 9:10 PM Eastern end of the window in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.