Mukhin Vitalii vs. Skhabitskiy Sergii
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Mukhin Vitalii vs. Skhabitskiy Sergii
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
5
Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the table tennis match between Mukhin Vitalii and Skhabitskiy Sergii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 26 at 8:50AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mukhin Vitalii' if Mukhin Vitalii wins against Skhabitskiy Sergii. This market will resolve to 'Skhabitskiy Sergii' if Skhabitskiy Sergii wins against Mukhin Vitalii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-22T12:00:05.992Z. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The evidence covers five Polymarket contracts tied to one table tennis match, Mukhin Vitalii vs. Skhabitskiy Sergii, in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men event [1]. The source states that the match was "scheduled for October 22 at 7:50AM ET" [1]. The outcome contracts resolve to the named player who wins. The total games contracts (Over/Under 3.5 and 4.5) and the two game handicap contracts use different wording and different sides, so they are separate questions and should not be compared as if they were one.
The rules also cover unusual outcomes. The source says a canceled match, a tie, or a delay "beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined" resolves to 50-50, and so does a walkover [1]. If a player advances because of a retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to that player [1]. The primary resolution source is "the official statistics of the event," with a consensus of credible reporting as a fallback if final statistics are not published "within 2 hours after the event's conclusion" [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-22T12:00:05.992Z, and the archive was retrieved on 2026-10-23T05:18:26.879Z [1]. These prices describe that earlier snapshot, not current trading. The listed end time for all five contracts is 2026-10-29T11:50:00.000Z [1]. That is the listed close time in the provider data, not a confirmed resolution date.
In the snapshot, Over 3.5 total games is priced at 0.9 and Under 3.5 at 0.1. Both outcome contracts and both game handicap contracts are priced at 0.5 for each side. Over/Under 4.5 is also 0.5 and 0.5. These are quoted snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The volume and selection data in the evidence do not show liquidity or how many traders took part.
All five saved markets for this event are included, with no partial sample flagged [1]. The provider's sample warning still notes that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Only one platform appears, so no cross-platform comparison is made here.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show whether the match was played, its final score, or how it was resolved. It also does not include any final statistics or reporting. The reasons behind the price levels are not in the evidence either. Different contracts with different prices are not, by themselves, an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Polymarket: Mukhin Vitalii vs. Skhabitskiy Sergii. Provider data observed 2026-10-22T12:00:05.992Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 23, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event for a men's table tennis match between Mukhin Vitalii and Skhabitskiy Sergii in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men competition. The source describes the match as scheduled for October 22 at 7:50AM ET [1]. The event page's retrieved record lists the provider status as active and a listed end time of 2026-10-29T11:50:00.000Z [1]. That listed end time is a contract closing reference from the market rules, not an announced date for the match. The main contract resolves to the winner of the match. The rules state that it will resolve to 'Mukhin Vitalii' if that player wins, and to 'Skhabitskiy Sergii' if that player wins [1]. The rules also set several exceptions. If the match is canceled without being played, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. If a match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those final statistics have not been published within 2 hours after the event concludes, the rules allow a consensus of credible reporting to be used instead [1]. The saved event includes four other contracts tied to the same match: a total games Over/Under 3.5 market, a total games Over/Under 4.5 market, and two game handicap markets lined up at plus or minus 1.5 games [1]. Each of these is a separate contract with its own outcomes, so their prices should be read independently of the match winner contract.
Why It Matters
The main contract measures which player wins this specific table tennis match. The rules define how the contract settles in ordinary results and in unusual outcomes such as cancellation, a tie, a walkover, or a retirement [1]. The totals and handicap contracts measure the number of games and the game margin, based on the thresholds named in the saved market titles [1]. Understanding these rules is necessary to interpret what each price is tied to, because outcomes that do not produce a clear winner can settle at 50-50 rather than at either player's name [1].
Snapshot context
The archived provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-22 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if the match is not played?
If the match is canceled and not played at all, the market resolves 50-50. The same applies if the match is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined [1].
What happens if a player retires during the match?
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
What source decides the result?
The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1].
Does the October 29 date mean the match is scheduled then?
No. The source gives the match schedule as October 22 at 7:50AM ET, and the 2026-10-29T11:50:00.000Z date is the listed end time for the market [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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