San Telmo vs Central Norte
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San Telmo vs Central Norte
K 0 contracts
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is San Telmo at 40%.
Kalshi
- San Telmo40%
- Tie33.5%
- Central Norte26.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
STE vs CAC (Oct 31) If X wins the San Telmo vs Central Norte professional Argentine Nacional B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the San Telmo vs Central Norte professional Argentine Nacional B soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T18:00:06.010Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved Kalshi event covers a scheduled Argentine Nacional B match between San Telmo and Central Norte, originally set for October 31, 2026 [1]. The rules state that the result is judged "after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties" [1]. A reader should therefore treat the three markets as results of regulation time only, not of the full match.
The three contracts are "San Telmo wins," "Central Norte wins," and "Tie is the result" [1]. The tie contract resolves to Yes if the game ends in a tie [1]. The rules also say that if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market "will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules" [1]. That fallback is not defined further in the supplied excerpt.
Reading the snapshot
The market data was observed at 18:00:06 UTC on October 27, 2026, and retrieved at 19:46:17 UTC the same day [1]. This is a point-in-time record from earlier that day. It does not show current prices, and it should not be read as a live quote.
Each of the three contracts shows a Yes price of 0.43 and a No price of 0.57 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The three Yes prices add up to more than 1, but the contracts are separate markets in one event, and that sum should not be read as an opportunity or as a checked probability distribution. The supplied data does not explain why the prices are at these levels, and this analysis does not offer a reason.
The data lists an end date of November 2, 2026, at 18:00 UTC for each market [1]. The event's own listed end time is not supplied [1]. That date appears in the market record, but the excerpt does not say it is when the match will be played or when resolution will occur.
Coverage is complete for this saved event: all three markets are included, and the sample is not marked partial [1]. The records come from one provider only, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. Volume and trader counts are not in the evidence, so they cannot be discussed.
What remains uncertain
The supplied evidence does not establish whether the match will be played as scheduled, cancelled, or rescheduled. It also does not describe the fair-price method that would apply in those cases [1]. The source states that the event is not affiliated with the governing league [1], but it does not provide other context about the competition.
Because the snapshot is from earlier on October 27, 2026, later prices may differ. Readers should compare contract wording carefully before drawing conclusions from any single quoted price.
References
- Kalshi: San Telmo vs Central Norte. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T18:00:06.010Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event titled "San Telmo vs Central Norte," which the provider labels "STE vs CAC (Oct 31)." The contract rules describe a professional Argentine Nacional B soccer game "originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026" [1]. The word "originally" matters: the rules treat that date as the scheduled date in the contract wording, and the supplied evidence does not confirm when the match was played or whether it was rescheduled. The event contains three markets: "San Telmo wins," "Central Norte wins," and "Tie is the result." Each market has Yes and No outcomes [1]. Under the rules, the San Telmo and Central Norte markets resolve to Yes if the named team wins the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are not included [1]. The "Tie" market resolves to Yes if the game ends in a tie, measured on the same basis [1]. The rules also address cancellation. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to a time more than 48 hours away, the market resolves to a fair price under the rules rather than to a team win [1]. The rules state that the market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. The provider lists the event status as active and does not supply a listed end time [1]. The market records in the saved data carry an end date of 2026-11-02 at 18:00 UTC [1]. That value is a provider data field, not an announced match date or confirmed resolution time, and the rules do not tie it to the game. The contract is therefore best understood as a three-way question about a single match's regulation-time result, with a separate fallback for cancellation or postponement.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a specific match ends with San Telmo winning, Central Norte winning, or a tie, counting only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time [1]. Because extra time and penalties are excluded, a match that goes beyond regulation without a regulation winner is handled by the tie rule rather than by a later decision [1]. Readers comparing the three markets should note that they are three separate contracts on the same event, each with its own Yes and No outcomes [1]. The rules describe how each one resolves; they do not describe the likelihood of any result.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as a win for the San Telmo or Central Norte markets?
The rules say the market resolves to Yes if the named team wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and extra time or penalties are not included [1].
What happens if the game ends in a tie?
The market called "Tie" resolves to Yes if the game ends in a tie under the same 90-minute-plus-stoppage basis [1].
What happens if the game is cancelled or postponed?
If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules rather than to a team win [1].
Is Kalshi affiliated with the league?
The contract rules state that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing league [1].
When does the market close?
The rules state that the market will close and expire after a winner is declared [1]. The provider does not supply a separate listed end time [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
