Arizona vs Los Angeles R: Player Longest Rush
K 1.6K contracts
1
3
Arizona vs Los Angeles R: Player Longest Rush
K 1.6K contracts
1
3
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 1.6K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
ARI vs LAR (Oct 18) If X records a longest rush of over Y yards in the Arizona vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers X vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. Y is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Z takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on longest rush recorded. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T06:00:06.025Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This event lists three separate contracts from Kalshi, each tied to a different player and rushing threshold. The rules state that if a named player "records a longest rush of over Y yards" in the Arizona vs Los Angeles R game "originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. Each contract therefore asks a different question: Blake Corum over 12.5 yards, Kyren Williams over 15.5 yards, or Tyler Allgeier over 12.5 yards.
The rules also set outcome conditions beyond the basic question. If a player "is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start" [1]. If a player takes a snap that is "nullified by penalty, the market settles based on longest rush recorded" [1]. The rules add that the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1].
The listed close time in the market data is 2026-10-20T20:05:00Z for all three contracts. The source excerpt, however, says "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. This conflict should be resolved with the provider before relying on the close time. A close time is not an announced game date, and the rules do not confirm when the game will be played.
Reading the snapshot
The prices come from an observation at 2026-10-17T06:00:06Z, retrieved at 2026-10-17T08:35:58Z. They describe the saved data at those moments and are not live quotes. The Blake Corum contract shows Yes at 0.66 and No at 0.34. The Kyren Williams contract shows Yes and No both at 0.50. The Tyler Allgeier contract shows Yes at 0.465 and No at 0.535 [1].
These three contracts concern different players and different thresholds, so their prices should not be averaged or ranked against one another as if they measured one outcome. Each price is only the quoted level for that contract at the snapshot time. Prices are not verified probabilities, and they do not show executable depth or trading activity.
What remains uncertain
The sample includes all three saved markets for this provider event, and the coverage record marks it as not partial [1]. The provider's note still says this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Other players or thresholds may exist outside this saved set, and the omission of an outcome does not imply it has a particular price.
The evidence does not explain why any price is at its current level, and it does not show the number of traders or any recent news affecting the game. The excerpt also does not confirm whether the game is still scheduled as described on the listed date.
References
- Kalshi: Arizona vs Los Angeles R: Player Longest Rush. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T06:00:06.025Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract belongs to a Kalshi event titled "Arizona vs Los Angeles R: Player Longest Rush," which covers a game listed as originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 [1]. Each market asks whether a named player will record a longest rush above a stated number of yards in that game. The saved market rules say that if player X records a longest rush of over Y yards, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The saved event is tied to a specific game and a specific player threshold, so each market is a separate yes or no question about one player's single longest rush. The rules also address players who do not play. According to the saved rules, a player who is active but never takes a snap has a market that settles to the fair market price before game start [1]. A player who takes at least one snap settles based on the longest rush recorded, even if that rush is nullified by a penalty [1]. The rules also state that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The contract's listed end date in the saved market data is October 20, 2026, at 20:05 UTC [1]. That date is a field in the saved record and is not an announced event date. The event page states that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or officially connected with the governing league [1]. The saved provider status is active [1]. The sample includes three markets from this event, and all saved markets for the event are included. This does not show that the provider lists every possible outcome in the game.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single game outcome: whether a named player's longest rush in the scheduled game exceeds a stated yardage threshold [1]. Its value depends on the rules that define the measurement, including how the market settles if a player never takes a snap and how a nullified rush is treated [1]. Because the saved prices are a snapshot taken at the observation time, they show the market's recorded state at that moment and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The saved event has a listed end date, but the rules also allow early closure if the event occurs [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes outcome mean in these markets?
Under the saved rules, the market resolves to Yes if the named player records a longest rush of more than the stated yardage in the game [1].
What happens if a named player does not play?
The saved rules say that if the player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start [1].
Does a penalty change how a rush is counted?
The saved rules state that a player who takes at least one snap settles based on the longest rush recorded, even if that rush is nullified by penalty [1].
Do the listed prices show the chance that a player will reach the threshold?
The saved prices are snapshots from the observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, so they should not be read as confirmed chances [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
