CD Numancia vs. Real Oviedo - Exact Score
PM $0
1
37
CD Numancia vs. Real Oviedo - Exact Score
PM $0
1
37
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
37
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
About This Event
In the upcoming Copa del Rey game between CD Numancia and Real Oviedo, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CD Numancia vs. Real Oviedo match originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
This saved analysis is awaiting a background update. Its prices and claims may be outdated; compare them with the dated market data above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied markets are exact-score contracts for the CD Numancia vs. Real Oviedo match, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET [1]. Each contract asks whether a specific final score will occur, such as "CD Numancia 0 - 0 Real Oviedo," or whether the score will be "Any Other Score" [1]. Resolution uses the result after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, so extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1]. A postponed match keeps the market open until completion, while a canceled match with no make-up game resolves to "0-0" [1]. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T19:00:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's closing time, not a confirmed kickoff or result time. Readers should also note that the contract text describes the match as "originally scheduled," which signals that the timing could change.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 03:00 UTC on October 16, 2026, and the record was retrieved later that day [1]. This is a past snapshot, not a live reading. Each included market shows a Yes price of 0.375 and a No price of 0.625 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The sample is partial. The saved provider event contains 37 markets, and 12 are included [1]. The included markets were selected by highest Yes price, then volume, so the identical 0.375 values reflect the sample's ranking rules rather than a complete comparison of the field [1]. Omitted scores cannot be assumed to be priced lower. The snapshot does not include volume, trader counts, or liquidity, so it cannot show how much trading supports these prices.
Only one platform and one event appear in the evidence. No cross-platform comparison is possible here, and differences in wording or close times between contracts should be checked against each contract's own rules before any comparison.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are set where they are. It also does not show current prices, match status beyond the provider's "active" label, or any reporting on the teams. Because the snapshot is from earlier on October 16, 2026, prices on the provider may have changed since. The rules also allow revisions and data-source fallbacks that could affect how the outcome is determined.
References
- Polymarket: CD Numancia vs. Real Oviedo - Exact Score. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is an exact score market for the Copa del Rey match between CD Numancia and Real Oviedo, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, according to the Polymarket event record [1]. Each market asks whether the final score will match one specific scoreline. The event lists exact scores from 0-0 through 5-5 for the home side against Real Oviedo, plus a catch-all outcome labeled "Any Other Score" [1]. The rules define the result narrowly. The market uses only the score at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1]. If the final score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score" [1]. The rules also set out what happens when the match does not finish as scheduled. If the match is postponed, the market stays open until the match is completed. If the match is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0" [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those statistics have not been published within 2 hours after the event ends, data from Flashscore may be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1]. Later revisions to officially declared final scores are not counted once the market has resolved [1]. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to "Draw" where that outcome applies [1]. The Polymarket record shows the event as active, with a listed end time of 2026-10-28T19:00:00.000Z [1]. That end time is a provider field in the contract record and should be read as the listed close, not as confirmation of when the match itself will finish.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single outcome: the final score under the stated rules. Because it treats every scoreline as a separate contract, the price of one exact score reflects how the market values that result alone, not the likelihood of the match as a whole [1]. The exclusion of extra time and penalties means a match that goes to a shoot-out still resolves on the score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time [1]. The market sample available for this event shows 12 of 37 markets, a partial sample of the event's full set of contracts [1]. In that sample, each included exact-score contract and the "Any Other Score" contract had a Yes price of 0.375 and a No price of 0.625 in the saved snapshot [1]. Those figures are snapshot prices from the provider record, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The sample was ordered by Yes price, so it does not show the lowest-priced outcomes, and nothing can be inferred about omitted contracts from this sample.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Do extra time and penalty shootouts count toward the result?
No. The market uses only the score at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, and extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1].
What happens if the match is postponed?
If the match is postponed, the market remains open until the match is completed [1].
What happens if the match is canceled?
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0" [1].
What happens if the final score is not one of the listed exact scores?
If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score" [1].
Which data sources determine the result?
The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, Flashscore data may be used, then Sofascore data, and then a consensus of credible reporting if neither is available [1].
What happens if no acceptable data is available?
If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
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